The degree of predictability of earthquakes in several regions of China: statistical analysis of historical data
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Lu CS(卢春生)
|
| 刊名 | Journal of Asian Earth Sciences
 |
| 出版日期 | 2005 |
| 卷号 | 25期号:2页码:379-385 |
| 通讯作者邮箱 | chunsheng.lu@aeromech.usyd.edu.au |
| 关键词 | Spatio-Temporal Seismicity Stress Release Model Degree Of Predictability Historical Earthquake Data In China Stress Release Model Prediction Sequence |
| ISSN号 | 1367-9120 |
| 通讯作者 | Lu, CS (reprint author), Univ Sydney, Sch Aerosp Mech & Mechatron Engn, CAMT, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia. |
| 中文摘要 | The stress release model, a stochastic version of the elastic-rebound theory, is applied to the historical earthquake data from three strong earthquake-prone regions of China, including North China, Southwest China, and the Taiwan seismic regions. The results show that the seismicity along a plate boundary (Taiwan) is more active than in intraplate regions (North and Southwest China). The degree of predictability or regularity of seismic events in these seismic regions, based on both the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and fitted sensitivity parameters, follows the order Taiwan, Southwest China, and North China, which is further identified by numerical simulations. (c) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| 类目[WOS] | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
| 研究领域[WOS] | Geology |
| 关键词[WOS] | STRESS RELEASE MODEL ; PREDICTION ; SEQUENCE |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000229671100010 |
| 公开日期 | 2009-08-03 ; 2010-06-13 |
| 源URL | [http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33843]  |
| 专题 | 力学研究所_力学所知识产出(1956-2008) |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lu CS. The degree of predictability of earthquakes in several regions of China: statistical analysis of historical data[J]. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences,2005,25(2):379-385. |
| APA | 卢春生.(2005).The degree of predictability of earthquakes in several regions of China: statistical analysis of historical data.Journal of Asian Earth Sciences,25(2),379-385. |
| MLA | 卢春生."The degree of predictability of earthquakes in several regions of China: statistical analysis of historical data".Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 25.2(2005):379-385. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：力学研究所
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