Identifying the inter-market relationships of forest products in the Pacific Northwest with cointegration and causality tests
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Yin R. S. ; Xu J. T. |
| 发表日期 | 2003 |
| 关键词 | inter-market relationship cointegration causality weak exogeneity price forecasting united-states one price softwood lumber law imports |
| 英文摘要 | We identify various inter-market relationships of forest products using cointegration and causality tests together. Of the six Douglas fir domestic sawlog, export sawlog, and lumber markets in the Pacific Northwest, we find that the two log markets and the two lumber markets are integrated, respectively. However, the two export log markets are not, nor is any cross-grade combination. In conjunction with cointegration restrictions, our causality tests demonstrate that export and lumber prices lead the movement of domestic sawlog prices; and similarly, the movements of domestic lumber prices follow the movements of export log prices. A close examination further reveals that export log prices for Region 1 lead the price formation process in all the lumber markets and log markets. We believe that these results have significant implications for understanding and thus dealing with forest products market behavior and price forecasting. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. |
| 出处 | Forest Policy and Economics |
| 卷 | 5 |
| 期 | 3 |
| 页 | 305-315 |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1389-9341 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/22536]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yin R. S.,Xu J. T.. Identifying the inter-market relationships of forest products in the Pacific Northwest with cointegration and causality tests. 2003. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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