The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Xu M. |
| 发表日期 | 2010 |
| 关键词 | H1N1 influenza A airline transmission early warning basic reproductive number containment strategies |
| 英文摘要 | A novel influenza A (H1N1) has been spreading worldwide. Early studies implied that international air travels might be key cause of a severe potential pandemic without appropriate containments. In this study, early outbreaks in Mexico and some cities of United States were used to estimate the preliminary epidemic parameters by applying adjusted SEIR epidemiological model, indicating transmissibility infectivity of the virus. According to the findings, a new spatial allocation model totally based on the real-time airline data was established to assess the potential spreading of H1N1 from Mexico to the world. Our estimates find the basic reproductive number R0 of H1N1 is around 3.4, and the effective reproductive number fall sharply by effective containment strategies. The finding also implies Spain, Canada, France, Panama, Peru are the most possible country to be involved in severe endemic H1N1 spreading. |
| 出处 | Chinese Science Bulletin |
| 卷 | 55 |
| 期 | 26 |
| 页 | 3030-3036 |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 1001-6538 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/24273]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu M.. The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments. 2010. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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