An artificial-neural-network-based, constrained CA model for simulating urban growth
文献类型：EI期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang Liming |
| 发表日期 | 2005 |
| 关键词 | Backpropagation Computer simulation Constraint theory Economics Forecasting Mathematical models Neural networks Probability Urban planning |
| 英文摘要 | Insufficient research has been done on integrating artificial-neural-network-based cellular automata (CA) models and constrained CA models, even though both types have been studied for several years. In this paper, a constrained CA model based on an artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to simulate and forecast urban growth. Neural networks can learn from available urban land-use geospatial data and thus deal with redundancy, inaccuracy, and noise during the CA parameter calibration. In the ANN-Urban-CA model we used, a two-layer Back-Propagation (BP) neural network has been integrated into a CA model to seek suitable parameter values that match the historical data. Each cell's probability of urban transformation is determined by the neural network during simulation. A macro-scale socio-cconomic model was run together with the CA model to estimate demand for urban space in each period in the future. The total number of new urban cells generated by the CA model was constrained, taking such exogenous demands as population forecasts into account. Beijing urban growth between 1980 and 2000 was simulated using this model, and long-term (2001-2015) growth was forecast based on multiple socio-economic scenarios. The ANN-Urban-CA model was found capable of simulating and forecasting the complex and non-linear spatial-temporal process of urban growth in a reasonably short time, with less subjective uncertainty. |
| 出处 | Cartography and Geographic Information Science
 |
| 卷 | 32期:4页:369-380 |
| 收录类别 | EI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/24892]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang Liming. An artificial-neural-network-based, constrained CA model for simulating urban growth. 2005. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。