中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Spatio-temporal trend and statistical distribution of extreme precipitation events in Huaihe River Basin during 1960-2009

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Xia, J ; She,Dunxi(佘敦先) ; Zhang, YY ; Du, H
刊名JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
出版日期2012
卷号22期号:2页码:195-208
关键词Huaihe River Basin extreme precipitation extreme distribution L-moments method Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
通讯作者She,Dunxi(佘敦先)
英文摘要Based on the daily precipitation data of 27 meteorological stations from 1960 to 2009 in the Huaihe River Basin, spatio-temporal trend and statistical distribution of extreme precipitation events in this area are analyzed. Annual maximum series (AM) and peak over threshold series (POT) are selected to simulate the probability distribution of extreme precipitation. The results show that positive trend of annual maximum precipitation is detected at most of used stations, only a small number of stations are found to depict a negative trend during the past five decades, and none of the positive or negative trend is significant. The maximum precipitation event almost occurred in the flooding period during the 1960s and 1970s. By the L-moments method, the parameters of three extreme distributions, i.e., Generalized extreme value distribution (GEV), Generalized Pareto distribution (GP) and Gamma distribution are estimated. From the results of goodness of fit test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, AM series can be better fitted by GEV model and POT series can be better fitted by GP model. By the comparison of the precipitation amounts under different return levels, it can be found that the values obtained from POT series are a little larger than the values from AM series, and they can better simulate the observed values in the Huaihe River Basin.
收录类别SCI
资助信息National Basic Research Program of China 2010CB428406;National Natural Science Foundation of China 41071025
语种英语
公开日期2012-06-13
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/25028]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Xia, J,She,Dunxi,Zhang, YY,et al. Spatio-temporal trend and statistical distribution of extreme precipitation events in Huaihe River Basin during 1960-2009[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2012,22(2):195-208.
APA Xia, J,She,Dunxi,Zhang, YY,&Du, H.(2012).Spatio-temporal trend and statistical distribution of extreme precipitation events in Huaihe River Basin during 1960-2009.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,22(2),195-208.
MLA Xia, J,et al."Spatio-temporal trend and statistical distribution of extreme precipitation events in Huaihe River Basin during 1960-2009".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 22.2(2012):195-208.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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