Dramatic decrease in streamflow from the headwater source in the central route of China's water diversion project: Climatic variation or human influence?
文献类型：SCI/SSCI论文
| 作者 | Xia J. |
| 发表日期 | 2012 |
| 关键词 | river-basin mississippi river pan evaporation united-states land-use runoff trends precipitation variability impact |
| 英文摘要 | The Danjiangkou Reservoir is the headwater source of the central route of China's South to North Water Diversion Project (SNWDP). Average annual streamflow into the Reservoir was 40.97 km(3) from 1951 to 1989, while it was 31.64 km(3) from 1990 to 2006. Between the two periods, the average annual streamflow was reduced by 9.33 km(3), accounting for 71.8% of the proposed amount of water diversion of the central route (13 km3 per year). The sharply decreasing streamflow would inevitably have negative impacts on the implementation of the SNWDP. The reasons for the decrease in streamflow should be investigated before developing any adaption strategies. In this study, the impacts of climatic variation and human activities on streamflow were evaluated by a climate elasticity method. The results show that the impact of climatic variation (indicated by precipitation and potential evapotranspiration) was responsible for 84.1-90.1% of the streamflow reduction, while human activities or other indentified uncertainties contributed 9.9-15.9% of the streamflow reduction. The observed 69.89 mm decrease in average annual precipitation contributed 81.6-87.3% of the decrease in streamflow. According to the observed data during the study period, the planned water diversion could lead to an ecological disaster of the downstream area of the Danjiangkou Reservoir in certain years. We suggest that the water diversion from the Danjiangkou Reservoir should be conducted in an adaptive manner to avoid such an adverse consequence, instead of the current plan of a fixed annual amount of water. |
| 出处 | Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres |
| 卷 | 117 |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| ISSN号 | 0148-0227 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/26850]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xia J.. Dramatic decrease in streamflow from the headwater source in the central route of China's water diversion project: Climatic variation or human influence?. 2012. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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