Modeling the response of rice phenology to climate change and variability in different climatic zones: Comparisons of five models
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Shuai(张帅) ; Tao, FL |
| 刊名 | EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2013 |
| 卷号 | 45页码:165-176 |
| 关键词 | Climate change Extreme temperature Maturity date Phenology change Rice phenology model |
| 通讯作者 | Tao, FL |
| 英文摘要 | Crop models have been widely used in simulating and predicting changes in rice phenology in the major rice production regions of China, however the uncertainties in simulating crop phenology at a large scale and from different models were rarely investigated. In the present study, five rice phenological models/modules (i.e., CERES-Rice, ORYZA2000, RCM, Beta Model, SIMRIW) were firstly calibrated and validated based on a large number of rice phenological observations across China during 1981-2009. The inner workings of the models, as well as the simulated phenological response to climate change/variability, were compared to determine if the models adequately handled climatic changes and climatic variability. Results showed these models simulated rice phenological development over a large area fairly well after calibration, although the relative performance of the models varied in different regions. The simulated changes in rice phenology were generally consistent when temperatures were below the optimum; however varied largely when temperatures were above the optimum. The simulated rice growing season under future climate scenarios was shortened by about 0.45-5.78 days; but in northeastern China, increased temperature variability may prolong the growing season of rice. We concluded more modeling and experimental studies should be conducted to accelerate understanding of rice phenology development under extreme temperatures. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 资助信息 | Chinese Academy of Science, China XDA05090308 2010CB950902；"Hundred Talents" Program from the Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 公开日期 | 2013-03-08 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/27833]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Shuai,Tao, FL. Modeling the response of rice phenology to climate change and variability in different climatic zones: Comparisons of five models[J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY,2013,45:165-176. |
| APA | Zhang, Shuai,&Tao, FL.(2013).Modeling the response of rice phenology to climate change and variability in different climatic zones: Comparisons of five models.EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY,45,165-176. |
| MLA | Zhang, Shuai,et al."Modeling the response of rice phenology to climate change and variability in different climatic zones: Comparisons of five models".EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY 45(2013):165-176. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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