Interactions between land use change, regional development, and climate change in the Poyang Lake district from 1985 to 2035
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yan, Dan(闫丹) ; Schneider, UA ; Schmid, E ; Huang, HQ ; Pan, LH ; Dilly, O |
| 刊名 | AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2013 |
| 卷号 | 119页码:10-21 |
| 关键词 | Agent based modeling Rice agriculture Climate scenario China Land use change Rural development |
| 通讯作者 | Yan, Dan(闫丹) |
| 英文摘要 | Land use change and climate change are two major global modifications of our environment and are predicted to continue in the future. To assess how climate change affects land use and regional development in the Poyang Lake district in China, we use agent-based modeling and simulate the physical and socio-economic drivers within two interactive sub-models for urban expansion and rural development. The modeling outputs from 1985 to 2005 show good agreement with the observed land use change. Possible land use changes and regional development paths until 2035 are examined for three SRES scenarios including A1B (rapid growth), A2 (regional-diversified growth) and B1 (growth with clean technologies). The results show that climate change induced impacts on land use change and regional development are highly relevant and may even amplify the complex interactions. In particular, cropland, forest, water area, urban, and grassland are more sensitive to these changes than unused land. The more environmental friendly B1 scenario results in less concerning land use changes. |
| 收录类别 | SCI |
| 资助信息 | Chinese R&D Programs "Development of a comprehensive monitoring and evaluation system for ecological compensation of typical ecologically vulnerable regions of China" 2006BAC08B06；Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences KZCX2-EW-306；German Cluster of Excellence 'Climate System Analysis and Predication - CliSAP', University of Hamburg through the German Science Foundation (DFG)；EU commission through the FP7 project Climate Change - Terrestrial Adaptation and Mitigation in Europe (CC-TAME) 212535 |
| 公开日期 | 2013-08-20 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/27938]  |
| 专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yan, Dan,Schneider, UA,Schmid, E,et al. Interactions between land use change, regional development, and climate change in the Poyang Lake district from 1985 to 2035[J]. AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS,2013,119:10-21. |
| APA | Yan, Dan,Schneider, UA,Schmid, E,Huang, HQ,Pan, LH,&Dilly, O.(2013).Interactions between land use change, regional development, and climate change in the Poyang Lake district from 1985 to 2035.AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS,119,10-21. |
| MLA | Yan, Dan,et al."Interactions between land use change, regional development, and climate change in the Poyang Lake district from 1985 to 2035".AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS 119(2013):10-21. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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