Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Duan, Hongbo3; Zhang, Gupeng2; Wang, Shouyang1 ; Fan, Ying4
|
| 刊名 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2019-06-01 |
| 卷号 | 160页码:76-86 |
| 关键词 | Integrated assessment modeling Targeted mitigation Optimal adaptation Trade-offs Benefit-cost effectiveness |
| ISSN号 | 0921-8009 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.008 |
| 英文摘要 | In this work, we develop a regional integrated assessment framework by incorporating both adaptation and mitigation mechanisms to conduct benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and portray the relative adaptation cost curve. In particular, we explore the influence of induced optimal mitigation, given the 2-degree warming-increase target, on the effectiveness of adaptation. Although adaptation alone may not be able to tackle all the risks of climate change, it remains a benefit-cost effective option. Our results show that China's optimal adaptation strategy can avoid, on average, 28% of climate damage over the entire simulation horizon. With respect to the reduction of adverse climate effects, the effect of a policy mix of both adaptation and mitigation does not appear to be "1 + 1 >= 2", despite the combination strategy is still the better option compared to adaptation or mitigation alone. Robustness analysis reveals that the choice of time scales is important for policy effectiveness assessment, and the discount rate tells most of the story. Specifically, the lower the discount level, the higher the policy effectiveness; and the effectiveness of targeted policy would be significantly reinforced if a longer time scale is considered, given the same discount rate. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874177] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71690245] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71503242] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71872169] ; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Foundation |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000466260300007 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/34573]  |
| 专题 | 系统科学研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Gupeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 4.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,et al. Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2019,160:76-86. |
| APA | Duan, Hongbo,Zhang, Gupeng,Wang, Shouyang,&Fan, Ying.(2019).Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,160,76-86. |
| MLA | Duan, Hongbo,et al."Integrated benefit-cost analysis of China's optimal adaptation and targeted mitigation".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 160(2019):76-86. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。