Effectiveness analysis of the prediction of regional debris flow susceptibility in post-earthquake and drought site
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Chen Ning-sheng2 ; Zhang Yong1,2; Tian Shu-feng1,2; Deng Ming-feng1,2; Wang Tao2; Liu Li-hong2; Liu Mei1,2; Hu Gui-sheng2
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| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
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| 出版日期 | 2020 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:2页码:329-339 |
| 关键词 | Regional debris flow Susceptibility Prediction model Wenchuan earthquake Drought Southwest China |
| ISSN号 | 1672-6316 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11629-019-5684-4 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 通讯作者 | Chen, Ning-sheng(chennsh@imde.ac.cn) |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Debris-flow disasters occurred frequently after the M-w 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake on 12 May 2008 in Sichuan Province, China. Based on historical accounts of debris-flow disaster events, it found that debris flow occurrence is closely related to the impact of earthquakes and droughts, because earthquake-drought activities can increase the loose solid materials, which can transform into debris flows under the effect of rainstorms. Based on the analysis of historical earthquake activity (frequency, magnitude and location), drought indexes and the trend of climate change (amount of rainfall), a prediction method was established, and the regional debris flow susceptibility was predicted. Furthermore, in a debris flow-susceptible site, effective warning and monitoring are essential not only from an economic point of view but are also considered as a frontline approach to alleviate hazards. The advantages of the prediction and early monitoring include (1) the acquired results being sent to the central government for policy making; (2) lives and property in mountainous areas can be protected, such as the 570 residents in the Aizi valley, who evacuated successfully before debris flows in 2012; (3) guiding the government to identify the areas of disasters and the preparation for disaster prevention and mitigation, such as predicting disasters in high-risk areas in the period 2012-2017, helping the government to recognize the development trend of disasters; (4) the quantitative prediction of regional debris-flow susceptibility, such as after the Wenchuan earthquake, can promote scientific and sustainable development and socioeconomic planning in earthquake-struck areas. |
| 电子版国际标准刊号 | 1993-0321 |
| WOS关键词 | ANTECEDENT EARTHQUAKES ; WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE ; COMBINED IMPACTS ; CALIFORNIA ; INITIATION ; CATCHMENT ; SOIL |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671112] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41861134008] ; National Key Research and Development Plan[2018YFC1505202] ; Sichuan Province Science and Technology Plan Project Key research and development projects[18ZDYF0329] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000512107000006 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Plan ; Sichuan Province Science and Technology Plan Project Key research and development projects |
| 源URL | [http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/33870]  |
| 专题 | 成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室 |
| 通讯作者 | Chen Ning-sheng |
| 作者单位 | 1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 10049, China 2.Key of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen Ning-sheng,Zhang Yong,Tian Shu-feng,et al. Effectiveness analysis of the prediction of regional debris flow susceptibility in post-earthquake and drought site[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2020,17(2):329-339. |
| APA | Chen Ning-sheng.,Zhang Yong.,Tian Shu-feng.,Deng Ming-feng.,Wang Tao.,...&Hu Gui-sheng.(2020).Effectiveness analysis of the prediction of regional debris flow susceptibility in post-earthquake and drought site.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,17(2),329-339. |
| MLA | Chen Ning-sheng,et al."Effectiveness analysis of the prediction of regional debris flow susceptibility in post-earthquake and drought site".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 17.2(2020):329-339. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：成都山地灾害与环境研究所
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