Assessing the spatio-temporal variation and uncertainty patterns of historical and future projected water resources in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhu, Qiuan1; Jiang, Hong2; Peng, Changhui1,3; Liu, Jinxun4; Fang, Xiuqin5; Chen, Huai1; Liu, Shirong6 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
 |
| 出版日期 | 2013 |
| 卷号 | 4期号:3页码:302-316 |
| 关键词 | China climate change hydrological effects uncertainty water resource |
| ISSN号 | 2040-2244 |
| DOI | 10.2166/wcc.2013.072 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | The spatial and temporal variation and uncertainty of precipitation and runoff in China were compared and evaluated between historical and future periods under different climate change scenarios. The precipitation pattern is derived from observed and future projected precipitation data for historical and future periods, respectively. The runoff is derived from simulation results in historical and future periods using a dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM) forced with historical observed and global climate models (GCMs) future projected climate data, respectively. One GCM (CGCM3.1) under two emission scenarios (SRES A2 and SRES B1) was used for the future period simulations. The results indicated high uncertainties and variations in climate change effects on hydrological processes in China: precipitation and runoff showed a significant increasing trend in the future period but a decreasing trend in the historical period at the national level; the temporal variation and uncertainty of projected precipitation and runoff in the future period were predicted to be higher than those in the historical period; the levels of precipitation and runoff in the future period were higher than those in the historical period. The change in trends of precipitation and runoff are highly affected by different climate change scenarios. GCM structure and emission scenarios should be the major sources of uncertainty. |
| 学科主题 | Environment ; Ecology |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; TRANSFER SCHEME LSX ; GLOBAL LAND AREAS ; RIVER-BASIN ; YELLOW-RIVER ; HEADWATER CATCHMENT ; CHANGE SCENARIOS ; FLOOD FREQUENCY ; CARBON BALANCE ; RUNOFF TRENDS |
| WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000323421500010 |
| 出版者 | IWA PUBLISHING |
| 源URL | [http://210.75.237.14/handle/351003/29834]  |
| 专题 | 本单位人员在外单位产出 成都生物研究所_生态研究 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhu, Qiuan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Northwest A&F Univ, Lab Ecol Forecasting & Global Change, Coll Forestry, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China; 2.Nanjing Univ, Int Inst Earth Syst Sci, Nanjing 210093, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Quebec, Inst Environm Sci, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P8, Canada; 4.Stinger Ghaffarian Technol SGT Inc, Sioux Falls, SD 57198 USA; 5.Hohai Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 6.Chinese Acad Forestry, Inst Forest Ecol & Environm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhu, Qiuan,Jiang, Hong,Peng, Changhui,et al. Assessing the spatio-temporal variation and uncertainty patterns of historical and future projected water resources in China[J]. JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,2013,4(3):302-316. |
| APA | Zhu, Qiuan.,Jiang, Hong.,Peng, Changhui.,Liu, Jinxun.,Fang, Xiuqin.,...&Liu, Shirong.(2013).Assessing the spatio-temporal variation and uncertainty patterns of historical and future projected water resources in China.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,4(3),302-316. |
| MLA | Zhu, Qiuan,et al."Assessing the spatio-temporal variation and uncertainty patterns of historical and future projected water resources in China".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE 4.3(2013):302-316. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：成都生物研究所
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