20世纪50年代以来登陆中国热带气旋的变化特征分析
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | 张春艳; 刘昭华; 王晓利 ; 侯西勇
|
| 刊名 | 海洋科学
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-02-15 |
| 卷号 | 44期号:02页码:10-21 |
| 关键词 | 热带气旋 登陆个数 登陆频次 登陆强度 登陆位置 |
| ISSN号 | 1000-3096 |
| 其他题名 | Variations of landfalling tropical cyclones in China since the 1950s |
| 产权排序 | (1) 江西理工大学建筑与测绘工程学院 ; (2) 重庆市万州区规划设计研究院 ; (3) 中国科学院烟台海岸带研究所 ; (4) 中国科学院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室 |
| 文献子类 | 期刊论文 |
| 英文摘要 | Based on track data of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific from 1951 to 2017, the characteristics of landfalling tropical cyclones（TCs） in China over the last 67 years, such as number, frequency, intensity, and landfalling location, were statistically analyzed using trend analysis, run-test analysis, and periodic analysis. The results showed that there were slight declines in the number and frequencies of landfalling TCs from 1951 to 2017, the dropping magnitude were 0.003 a–1 and 0.008 a–1 respectively, however, this decreasing trend was not significant in the test of M-K significance. In the future, the number of landfalling TCs is expected to slowly increase. The period in which landfalling TCs frequently occurred was from June to October, and this was especially observed in August. The lowest and mean central pressures showed an increasing trend in previous years, and the lowest central pressure passed the M-K significance test. The landfalling intensity of TCs generally showed a decreasing trend and they would continue to show a decreasing trend in the near future; however, high-intensity landfalling TCs showed a considerably increasing trend. The locations of landfalling TCs were mainly in Guangdong, Taiwan, Fujian, Hainan, and Zhejiang. The landfalling locations of TCs display a trend of eastward and northward shift, and this tendency will continue in the future. In this paper, the number and intensity of landfalling TCs in China from 1951 to 2017 were analyzed using direct track data of tropical cyclones. The purpose was to gain an in-depth understanding of the the characteristics and frequencies of tropical cyclones affecting China and to provide scientific references for the prediction, early warning, disaster prevention, and mitigation of TCs. |
| 语种 | 中文 |
| 资助机构 | 中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA19060205),中国科学院烟台海岸带研究所自主部署项目资助(YICY755011031) ; 国家自然科学基金国际合作项目(31461143032)~~ |
| 源URL | [http://ir.yic.ac.cn/handle/133337/25190]  |
| 专题 | 烟台海岸带研究所_海岸带信息集成与综合管理实验室 烟台海岸带研究所_中科院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室 |
| 作者单位 | 1.江西理工大学建筑与测绘工程学院; 2.重庆市万州区规划设计研究院; 3.中国科学院烟台海岸带研究所; 4.中国科学院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 张春艳,刘昭华,王晓利,等. 20世纪50年代以来登陆中国热带气旋的变化特征分析[J]. 海洋科学,2020,44(02):10-21. |
| APA | 张春艳,刘昭华,王晓利,&侯西勇.(2020).20世纪50年代以来登陆中国热带气旋的变化特征分析.海洋科学,44(02),10-21. |
| MLA | 张春艳,et al."20世纪50年代以来登陆中国热带气旋的变化特征分析".海洋科学 44.02(2020):10-21. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：烟台海岸带研究所
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