中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Guan, Dabo2,3; Wang, Daoping4; Hallegatte, Stephane5; Davis, Steven J.6; Huo, Jingwen2; Li, Shuping7; Bai, Yangchun7; Lei, Tianyang2; Xue, Qianyu7; Coffman, D'Maris3
刊名NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
出版日期2020-06-03
页码13
ISSN号2397-3374
DOI10.1038/s41562-020-0896-8
英文摘要Countries have sought to stop the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) by severely restricting travel and in-person commercial activities. Here, we analyse the supply-chain effects of a set of idealized lockdown scenarios, using the latest global trade modelling framework. We find that supply-chain losses that are related to initial COVID-19 lockdowns are largely dependent on the number of countries imposing restrictions and that losses are more sensitive to the duration of a lockdown than its strictness. However, a longer containment that can eradicate the disease imposes a smaller loss than shorter ones. Earlier, stricter and shorter lockdowns can minimize overall losses. A 'go-slow' approach to lifting restrictions may reduce overall damages if it avoids the need for further lockdowns. Regardless of the strategy, the complexity of global supply chains will magnify losses beyond the direct effects of COVID-19. Thus, pandemic control is a public good that requires collective efforts and support to lower-capacity countries. Guan et al. analyse the impacts of COVID-19 restrictions on global supply chains. Earlier, stricter and shorter lockdowns can minimize overall losses. A 'go-slow' approach to lifting restrictions may reduce overall damages if it avoids the need for further lockdowns.
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[91846301] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41629501] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41921005] ; National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFA0600104] ; Czech Science Foundation under the project VEENEX (GACR)[16-17978S] ; World Bank Group ; Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program
WOS研究方向Psychology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Neurosciences & Neurology
语种英语
出版者NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
WOS记录号WOS:000538496100001
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/51554]  
专题中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者Guan, Dabo
作者单位1.Spark Ventures, London, England
2.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London, England
4.Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Urban & Reg Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China
5.World Bank, 1818 H St NW, Washington, DC 20433 USA
6.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA USA
7.Shandong Univ, Inst Blue & Green Dev, Weihai Inst Interdisciplinary Res, Weihai, Peoples R China
8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China
9.Univ Edinburgh, Business Sch, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland
10.Tsinghua Univ, Ctr Hlth Cities, Inst China Sustainable Urbanizat, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Guan, Dabo,Wang, Daoping,Hallegatte, Stephane,et al. Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures[J]. NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR,2020:13.
APA Guan, Dabo.,Wang, Daoping.,Hallegatte, Stephane.,Davis, Steven J..,Huo, Jingwen.,...&Gong, Peng.(2020).Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures.NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR,13.
MLA Guan, Dabo,et al."Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures".NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR (2020):13.

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来源:数学与系统科学研究院

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