A general equilibrium assessment of economic impacts of provincial unbalanced carbon intensity targets in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Weng, Zhixiong2; Dai, Hancheng3; Ma, Zhongyu2,4; Xie, Yang1; Wang, Peng5
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| 刊名 | RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
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| 出版日期 | 2018-06-01 |
| 卷号 | 133页码:157-168 |
| 关键词 | climate change Economic impact Price effect Scale effect IMED/CGE model |
| ISSN号 | 0921-3449 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.resconrec.2018.01.032 |
| 通讯作者 | Dai, Hancheng(dai.hancheng@pku.edu.cn) ; Ma, Zhongyu(mazhy@mail.caas.net.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | It is necessary to measure the economic impacts of the attempts to achieve China's carbon emission intensity reduction target. Consequently, this study analyzes the economic impacts of the differentiated CO2 intensity targets between Guangxi Province and the rest of China. An improved two-region computable general equilibrium model with eight scenarios is used. Our results show that different CO2 intensity targets in different regions will affect Guangxi's GDP, carbon price, welfare, and output. The highest reduction target of 75% in the P75C65 scenario in Guangxi will lead to a cost of 0.42% in per capita GDP loss, 0.51% of welfare loss, and a carbon price of 49.4 USD/t. In addition, the output of the energy-intensive sectors is most vulnerable to carbon mitigation policy. The two mechanisms that affect economic indicators are price and scale effects. Under the P75C65 scenario, sectors such as vehicle manufacturing are winners and are affected by both price and scale effects in Guangxi, with export, provincial outflow, domestic supply, and output decreasing by 1.64%, 0.88%, 0.93%, and 0.93%, respectively. In contrast, sectors such as agriculture are losers and are affected by the scale effect, with these four indicators increasing by 1.25%, 0.97%, 0.59%, and 0.73%, respectively. These findings provide valuable insights for policy makers who wish to allocate provincial reduction targets and achieve co-benefits between the economy and the environment. |
| WOS关键词 | EMISSIONS TRADING SCHEME ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; ALLOCATION ; TAX ; INDUSTRY ; SECTORS ; COMPETITIVENESS ; EFFICIENCY ; REDUCTION ; COUNTRIES |
| 资助项目 | National Key R&D Program of China[2016YEA0602601] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71704005] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71603248] |
| WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000429753900016 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV |
| 资助机构 | National Key R&D Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.giec.ac.cn/handle/344007/23020]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院广州能源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Dai, Hancheng; Ma, Zhongyu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Social & Environm Syst Div, 16-1 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan 2.Renmin Univ China, Sch Environm & Nat Resources, 59 Zhongguancun St, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China 3.Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 4.State Informat Ctr, 58 Sanlihe Rd, Beijing 100045, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Energy Convers, 2 Nengyuan Rd,Wushan St, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Weng, Zhixiong,Dai, Hancheng,Ma, Zhongyu,et al. A general equilibrium assessment of economic impacts of provincial unbalanced carbon intensity targets in China[J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,2018,133:157-168. |
| APA | Weng, Zhixiong,Dai, Hancheng,Ma, Zhongyu,Xie, Yang,&Wang, Peng.(2018).A general equilibrium assessment of economic impacts of provincial unbalanced carbon intensity targets in China.RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,133,157-168. |
| MLA | Weng, Zhixiong,et al."A general equilibrium assessment of economic impacts of provincial unbalanced carbon intensity targets in China".RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING 133(2018):157-168. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：广州能源研究所
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