Modeling crop yield and nitrogen use efficiency in wheat and maize production systems under future climate change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liang, Shuo2,4; Zhang, Xubo4; Sun, Nan2; Li, Yuefen3; Xu, Minggang2; Wu, Lianhai1 |
| 刊名 | NUTRIENT CYCLING IN AGROECOSYSTEMS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2019-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 115期号:1页码:117-136 |
| 关键词 | Climate change Yield Nitrogen use efficiency SPACSYS Crop rotation Northeastern and northwestern China |
| ISSN号 | 1385-1314 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s10705-019-10013-4 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Xubo(zhangxb@igsnrr.ac.cn) ; Sun, Nan(sunnan@caas.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | In the face of global climate change, changes in nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) have not been widely considered to affect agricultural productivity. A modeling study was conducted to assess the impacts of future climates on crop yields and NUE in two wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) and maize (Zea mays L.) rotation systems and one continuous maize system in northern China. Specifically, the process-based SPACSYS model was used to predict crop yields and NUE by 2100, under four climate scenarios (Baseline, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The model was validated using data from three long-term experiments, each of which included four fertilization practices typical of the regions: non-fertilizer, combined mineral N, phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) (NPK), NPK plus manure and NPK plus straw. Validation showed SPACSYS well-simulated crop yields and N uptake (R-2: 0.41-0.96; RMSE: 6-18%; and EF: 0.41-0.93). Under future climate change, the model predicted changes in maize yield by - 30.69% and 5.98% in northwestern and northeastern China, respectively, and wheat yield by - 16.37% in northwestern China. Future climates would cause greater NUE reductions in the northwest (wheat: 42.79%; maize: 33.73%) than in the northeast (maize: 3.97%) with smaller decreases in crop N uptake and N loss. Furthermore, manure application had higher crop NUEs (wheat: 6.66-31.27%; maize: 23.82-68.19%) and N uptakes than other treatments under future climate change. The results demonstrated the risks of future climate changes on crop yield and NUE in the study regions and can also help target fertilization practices for effectively mitigating climate change. |
| WOS关键词 | SOIL ORGANIC-MATTER ; CO2 FERTILIZATION ; REGIONAL-SCALE ; CHINA ; CARBON ; INCREASE ; GROWTH ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; SPACSYS |
| 资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC0503805] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701333] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41620104006] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Non-profit National Research Institute[Y2017LM06] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Non-profit National Research Institute[BBS/E/C/000I0320] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Non-profit National Research Institute[BBS/E/C/000I0330] |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000480817900007 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Non-profit National Research Institute |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/68843]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Xubo; Sun, Nan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Rothamsted Res, Sustainable Agr Syst, Okehampton EX20 2SB, Devon, England 2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Natl Engn Lab Improving Qual Arable Land, Inst Agr Resources & Reg Planning, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 3.Jilin Univ, Coll Earth Sci, Changchun 130061, Jilin, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liang, Shuo,Zhang, Xubo,Sun, Nan,et al. Modeling crop yield and nitrogen use efficiency in wheat and maize production systems under future climate change[J]. NUTRIENT CYCLING IN AGROECOSYSTEMS,2019,115(1):117-136. |
| APA | Liang, Shuo,Zhang, Xubo,Sun, Nan,Li, Yuefen,Xu, Minggang,&Wu, Lianhai.(2019).Modeling crop yield and nitrogen use efficiency in wheat and maize production systems under future climate change.NUTRIENT CYCLING IN AGROECOSYSTEMS,115(1),117-136. |
| MLA | Liang, Shuo,et al."Modeling crop yield and nitrogen use efficiency in wheat and maize production systems under future climate change".NUTRIENT CYCLING IN AGROECOSYSTEMS 115.1(2019):117-136. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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