Spatiotemporal Patterns and Risk Factors for Scrub Typhus From 2007 to 2017 in Southern China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zheng, Canjun4; Jiang, Dong1,2,3 ; Ding, Fangyu1,3; Fu, Jingying1,3; Hao, Mengmeng1,3
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| 刊名 | CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2019-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 69期号:7页码:1205-1211 |
| 关键词 | scrub typhus environmental niche risk zones disease control |
| ISSN号 | 1058-4838 |
| DOI | 10.1093/cid/ciy1050 |
| 通讯作者 | Ding, Fangyu(dingfy.17b@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Background. Substantial outbreaks of scrub typhus, coupled with the discovery of this vector-borne disease in new areas, suggest that the disease remains remarkably neglected. The objectives of this study were to map the contemporary and potential transmission risk zones of the disease and to provide novel insights into the health burden imposed by scrub typhus in southern China. Methods. Based on the assembled data sets of annual scrub typhus cases and maps of environmental and socioeconomic correlates, a boosted regression tree modeling procedure was used to identify the environmental niche of scrub typhus and to predict the potential infection zones of the disease. Additionally, we estimated the population living in the potential scrub typhus infection areas in southern China. Results. Spatiotemporal patterns of the annual scrub typhus cases in southern China between 2007 and 2017 reveal a tremendous, wide spread of scrub typhus. Temperature, relative humidity, elevation, and the normalized difference vegetation index are the main factors that influence the spread of scrub typhus. In southern China, the predicted highest transmission risk areas of scrub typhus are mainly concentrated in several regions, such as Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Hainan, and Fujian. We estimated that 162 684 million people inhabit the potential infection risk zones in southern China. Conclusions. Our results provide a better understanding of the environmental and socioeconomic factors driving scrub typhus spread, and estimate the potential infection risk zones beyond the disease's current, limited geographical extent, which enhances our capacity to target biosurveillance and help public health authorities develop disease control strategies. |
| WOS关键词 | RICKETTSIOSES ; INFECTION ; ECOLOGY ; REGION ; FEVER |
| 资助项目 | Ministry of Science and Technology of China[2016YFC1201300] |
| WOS研究方向 | Immunology ; Infectious Diseases ; Microbiology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000486640800018 |
| 出版者 | OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC |
| 资助机构 | Ministry of Science and Technology of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/69531]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Ding, Fangyu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Minist Land & Resources, Key Lab Carrying Capac Assessment Resource & Envi, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng, Canjun,Jiang, Dong,Ding, Fangyu,et al. Spatiotemporal Patterns and Risk Factors for Scrub Typhus From 2007 to 2017 in Southern China[J]. CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES,2019,69(7):1205-1211. |
| APA | Zheng, Canjun,Jiang, Dong,Ding, Fangyu,Fu, Jingying,&Hao, Mengmeng.(2019).Spatiotemporal Patterns and Risk Factors for Scrub Typhus From 2007 to 2017 in Southern China.CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES,69(7),1205-1211. |
| MLA | Zheng, Canjun,et al."Spatiotemporal Patterns and Risk Factors for Scrub Typhus From 2007 to 2017 in Southern China".CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES 69.7(2019):1205-1211. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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