中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
newtypeurbanizationinchinapredictedtrendsandinvestmentdemandfor20152030

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Sun Dongqi2; Zhou Liang1; Li Yu2; Liu Haimeng2; Shen Xiaoyan3; Wang Zedong3; Wang Xixi3
刊名journalofgeographicalsciences
出版日期2017
卷号27期号:8页码:943
ISSN号1009-637X
英文摘要The future development of new-type urbanization has drawn great attention from both the government and public alike. In this context, the present study had three related research aims. Firstly, it sought to predict the urbanization and population dynamics in China at both national and provincial levels for the period of 2015 to 2030. Secondly, on this basis, it sought to examine the spatial variation of urbanization given the predicted national urbanization rate of 70.12%. Thirdly, it sought to estimate and evaluate the national and provincial demands of investment in the development of new-type urbanization. The main conclusions from this study were as follows: (1) The population size and urbanization rate will reach 1.445 billion and 70.12%, respectively, from 2015 to 2030. (2) The demographic dividend will vanish when the population pressure reaches its maximum. During this period, there will be 70.16 million urban population born. The suburban population that becomes urbanized will be 316.7 million, and thus the net increase in urban population will reach 386 million. (3) Although the urbanization rate of every Chinese province will increase during 2015-2030, it will do so unequally, while differences in urbanization quality among provinces will also be substantial. In some provinces, moreover, the urbanization quality is not compatible with their eco-social development. (4) A total of 4,105,380 billion yuan is required to fund new-type urbanization and the investment demand for each province varies greatly; for example, Guangdong province requires the most funding, amounting to approximately 148 times that required by Tibet, the province in least need of funding. In the final part of this study, policy suggestions concerning the investment of the new-type urbanization are put forward and discussed.
语种英语
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/117428]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
作者单位1.兰州交通大学
2.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
3.鲁东大学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun Dongqi,Zhou Liang,Li Yu,et al. newtypeurbanizationinchinapredictedtrendsandinvestmentdemandfor20152030[J]. journalofgeographicalsciences,2017,27(8):943.
APA Sun Dongqi.,Zhou Liang.,Li Yu.,Liu Haimeng.,Shen Xiaoyan.,...&Wang Xixi.(2017).newtypeurbanizationinchinapredictedtrendsandinvestmentdemandfor20152030.journalofgeographicalsciences,27(8),943.
MLA Sun Dongqi,et al."newtypeurbanizationinchinapredictedtrendsandinvestmentdemandfor20152030".journalofgeographicalsciences 27.8(2017):943.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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