Land-use change drives present and future distributions of Fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (JE Smith) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liu, Tianmeng1; Wang, Jianming2; Hu, Xiaokang1; Feng, Jianmeng1 |
| 刊名 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-03-01 |
| 卷号 | 706页码:11 |
| 关键词 | Climate changes Fall armyworm Global distribution Land-use change Predict Topography |
| ISSN号 | 0048-9697 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135872 |
| 通讯作者 | Feng, Jianmeng(fjm@dali.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The fall armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda J.E. Smith) is one of the most notorious pests of several crops in the world. However, to date, few studies have simulated the future distribution patterns of fall armyworm under rapid global changes. Though the relative influences of climate and land-use on species distribution might depend on the spatial scales of the studies, it is not known whether this rule is applicable to pests which mostly feed on crops. Here, we developed MaxEnt models to explore the distribution patterns of fall armyworm, as well as the relative influences of land-use change, topography and climate change on them. Under the present conditions and scenarios of RCP 2.6 and 8.5 (the most optimistic and pessimistic emissions scenarios, respectively), high potential habitats of fall armyworm were mostly recorded along the east coast areas of the USA, the State of Florida, Mexico, Central America, southern part of Brazil, central Africa, and southern Asia. Among all of the continents, Africa will face the greatest increase of the threats from fall armyworm in future. Under RCP 2.6 scenario, both the potential habitats and areas with increased habitat suitability were larger than those under RCP 8.5. Therefore, much more effort is required to control fall armyworm under RCP 2.6 scenario. Compared to climate change, land-use changes are more important in shaping the distribution patterns of fall armyworm. Therefore, the concentration of resources might modify the relative influence of climate and land-use in species distributions at large scales. Thus, regulating land-use might prove effective for mitigating the proliferation of fall armyworm. In general, C4 annual crops and managed pastures provide more suitable habitats for fall armyworm than C3 annual crops. Our findings demonstrate that delineating resource concentrations could provide a new approach towards controlling fall armyworm under current and future global change. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | POPULATION-DYNAMICS ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; NATURAL PARASITISM ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MAXENT ; SELECTION ; STRAINS ; PREDICT ; ENEMIES |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[31560178] ; Innovation team of Plant Ecology and Climate change in Hengduan Mountains, Dali University, China[ZKLX2019217] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000506376300086 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Innovation team of Plant Ecology and Climate change in Hengduan Mountains, Dali University, China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/131353]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Feng, Jianmeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Dali Univ, Dept Life Sci & Agron, 2 Hongsheng Rd, Dali 671003, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, 11 Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Tianmeng,Wang, Jianming,Hu, Xiaokang,et al. Land-use change drives present and future distributions of Fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (JE Smith) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020,706:11. |
| APA | Liu, Tianmeng,Wang, Jianming,Hu, Xiaokang,&Feng, Jianmeng.(2020).Land-use change drives present and future distributions of Fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (JE Smith) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae).SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,706,11. |
| MLA | Liu, Tianmeng,et al."Land-use change drives present and future distributions of Fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (JE Smith) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 706(2020):11. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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