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Risk factors and predicted distribution of visceral leishmaniasis in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, 2005-2015

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Ding, Fangyu3,4; Wang, Qian3,4; Fu, Jingying3,4; Chen, Shuai3,4; Hao, Mengmeng3,4; Ma, Tian3,4; Zheng, Canjun1; Jiang, Dong2,3,4
刊名PARASITES & VECTORS
出版日期2019-11-08
卷号12期号:1页码:10
ISSN号1756-3305
关键词Visceral leishmaniasis Spatiotemporal patterns Environmental niche Infection risk
DOI10.1186/s13071-019-3778-z
通讯作者Zheng, Canjun(zhengcj@chinacdc.cn) ; Jiang, Dong(jiangd@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要Background Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a neglected disease that is spread to humans by the bites of infected female phlebotomine sand flies. Although this vector-borne disease has been eliminated in most parts of China, it still poses a significant public health burden in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. Understanding of the spatial epidemiology of the disease remains vague in the local community. In the present study, we investigated the spatiotemporal distribution of VL in the region in order to assess the potential threat of the disease. Methods Based on comprehensive infection records, the spatiotemporal patterns of new cases of VL in the region between 2005 and 2015 were analysed. By combining maps of environmental and socioeconomic correlates, the boosted regression tree (BRT) model was adopted to identify the environmental niche of VL. Results The fitted BRT models were used to map potential infection risk zones of VL in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, revealing that the predicted high infection risk zones were mainly concentrated in central and northern Kashgar Prefecture, south of Atushi City bordering Kashgar Prefecture and regions of the northern Bayingolin Mongol Autonomous Prefecture. The final result revealed that approximately 16.64 million people inhabited the predicted potential infection risk areas in the region. Conclusions Our results provide a better understanding of the potential endemic foci of VL in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region with a 1 km spatial resolution, thereby enhancing our capacity to target the potential risk areas, to develop disease control strategies and to allocate medical supplies.
WOS关键词PHLEBOTOMUS-PAPATASI DIPTERA ; TEMPERATURE ; DISEASE ; BIHAR
资助项目Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040305] ; Ministry of Science and Technology of China[2016YFC1201300]
WOS研究方向Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine
语种英语
出版者BMC
WOS记录号WOS:000495584500001
资助机构Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Ministry of Science and Technology of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/131914]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Zheng, Canjun; Jiang, Dong
作者单位1.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent China CDC, Natl Inst Viral Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
2.Minist Land & Resources, Key Lab Carrying Capac Assessment Resource & Envi, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Ding, Fangyu,Wang, Qian,Fu, Jingying,et al. Risk factors and predicted distribution of visceral leishmaniasis in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, 2005-2015[J]. PARASITES & VECTORS,2019,12(1):10.
APA Ding, Fangyu.,Wang, Qian.,Fu, Jingying.,Chen, Shuai.,Hao, Mengmeng.,...&Jiang, Dong.(2019).Risk factors and predicted distribution of visceral leishmaniasis in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, 2005-2015.PARASITES & VECTORS,12(1),10.
MLA Ding, Fangyu,et al."Risk factors and predicted distribution of visceral leishmaniasis in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, 2005-2015".PARASITES & VECTORS 12.1(2019):10.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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