Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yang, Hang1,3,4; Huang, Junlong1,2; Liu, Dianfeng1 |
| 刊名 | APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-02-01 |
| 卷号 | 115页码:12 |
| 关键词 | Carbon storage Urban land use Climate change RCP SSP |
| ISSN号 | 0143-6228 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.102135 |
| 通讯作者 | Liu, Dianfeng(liudianfeng@whu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Land use/cover change (LUCC) in the context of rapid urbanization process has exerted profound influences on carbon storage and ecosystem functions. Exploring the relationships between various urbanization patterns and carbon storage is conductive to developing scientific carbon storage polices. This study incorporated climate change and socioeconomic development into the urbanization process, and designed six future urbanization scenarios based on the combination of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). A hierarchical framework that integrates system dynamic, land-use simulation and carbon storage evaluation models was proposed to predict urban land use change under six concurrent scenarios of climate and socioeconomic conditions, and examine their synergic effects on carbon storage. Hubei Province, a rapidly urbanized area in central China, was selected as a case study. The results show that the decline of carbon storage from 2015 to 2030 ranges from 16.40 Tg to 24.22 Tg under different scenarios, and the scenario featuring steady climate conditions, low population growth, moderate economic growth and high-quality urbanization (e. g., technology innovation) will better maintain carbon storage. Our findings also demonstrate the spatially heterogeneous patterns of carbon storage change at regional scale, and more severe carbon storage loss in the medium-sized cities than the metropolis. This study suggests that targeted ecological conservation strategies should be developed for different cities. |
| WOS关键词 | CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT ; SCENARIO FRAMEWORK ; POTENTIAL IMPACTS ; PLANNING POLICIES ; USE DYNAMICS ; COVER CHANGE ; CLUE-S |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771429] ; Chinese Scholarship Council |
| WOS研究方向 | Geography |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000512307200002 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Scholarship Council |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/132389]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Liu, Dianfeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Wuhan Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China 2.Univ Toronto, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Toronto, ON M5S 3B2, Canada 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Hang,Huang, Junlong,Liu, Dianfeng. Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage[J]. APPLIED GEOGRAPHY,2020,115:12. |
| APA | Yang, Hang,Huang, Junlong,&Liu, Dianfeng.(2020).Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage.APPLIED GEOGRAPHY,115,12. |
| MLA | Yang, Hang,et al."Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage".APPLIED GEOGRAPHY 115(2020):12. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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