Spatial heterogeneity of the association between temperature and hand, foot, and mouth disease risk in metropolitan and other areas
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, XiangXue1,2; Xu, ChengDong1; Xiao, Gexin3 |
| 刊名 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-04-15 |
| 卷号 | 713页码:6 |
| 关键词 | Hand foot mouth disease Spatial patterns Average temperature GeoDetector Bayesian space-time hierarchy model |
| ISSN号 | 0048-9697 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136623 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, ChengDong(xucd@lreis.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Interest in assessing the effects of temperature on hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) has increased. However, little evidence is available on spatial heterogeneity in relationship to temperature and HFMD in metropolitan (capital city and municipal districts) and other areas where economic levels are significantly different. In this study, the Bayesian space-time hierarchy model was applied to identify the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of HFMD. GeoDetector was then used to quantify the determinant power of temperature to the disease in regions where the economic level has significant spatial heterogeneity. There was significant spatial heterogeneity in the influence of temperature on the incidence of HFMD in metropolitan and other areas. In metropolitan areas, where the disease risk is higher (hot spots), the HFMD incidence was higher alongside an increase in average temperature. However, in non-metropolitan areas, where the disease risk is lower (cold spots), there was an approximately S-shaped relationship between the temperature and the HFMD risk. More specifically, when the temperature was >25 degrees C, the HFMD incidence no longer increased monotonically with the increasing temperature. There was significant spatial heterogeneity in the effects of temperature on the HFMD incidence in metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas. This finding may serve as a suggestion and basis for the surveillance and control of this disease and it is conducive to the rational allocation of medical resources in different areas. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | CHILDHOOD HAND ; HEALTH ; CHINA ; ENTEROVIRUS-71 ; EPIDEMIOLOGY |
| 资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC1602002] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC1601800] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601419] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41531179] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601478] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA205YA] ; Innovation Project of LREIS[O88RA200YA] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000514544700126 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Innovation Project of LREIS |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/133238]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, ChengDong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 3.China Natl Ctr Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, XiangXue,Xu, ChengDong,Xiao, Gexin. Spatial heterogeneity of the association between temperature and hand, foot, and mouth disease risk in metropolitan and other areas[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020,713:6. |
| APA | Zhang, XiangXue,Xu, ChengDong,&Xiao, Gexin.(2020).Spatial heterogeneity of the association between temperature and hand, foot, and mouth disease risk in metropolitan and other areas.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,713,6. |
| MLA | Zhang, XiangXue,et al."Spatial heterogeneity of the association between temperature and hand, foot, and mouth disease risk in metropolitan and other areas".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 713(2020):6. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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