Climate change, thermal niches, extinction risk and maternal-effect rescue of toad-headed lizards, Phrynocephalus, in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the QinghaiTibetan Plateau
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Sinervo, Barry3; Miles, Donald B.2; Wu, Yayong4; Mendez-De la Cruz, Fausto R.1; Kirchhof, Sebastian5; Qi, Yin4 |
| 刊名 | INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2018-07-01 |
| 卷号 | 13期号:4页码:450-470 |
| 关键词 | climate change eco-physiology extinction model maternal effect lizards |
| ISSN号 | 1749-4877 |
| DOI | 10.1111/1749-4877.12315 |
| 产权排序 | 3 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Determining the susceptibility of species to changing thermal niches is a major goal for biologists. In this paper we develop an eco-physiological model of extinction risk under climate change premised on behavioral thermoregulation. Our method downscales operative environmental temperatures, which restrict hours of activity of lizards, h(r), for present-day climate (1975) and future climate scenarios (2070). We apply our model using occurrence records of 20 Phrynocephalus lizards (or taxa in species complexes) drawn from literature and museum records. Our analysis is phylogenetically informed, because some clades may be more sensitive to rising temperatures. The limits for computed h(r) predict local extirpations among Phrynocephalus lizards at continental scales and delineate upper boundaries of thermal niches as defined by Extreme Value Distributions. Under the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway scenario, we predict extirpation of 64% of local populations by 2070 across 20 Phrynocephalus species, and 12 are at high risk of total extinction due to thermal limits being exceeded. In tandem with global strategies of lower CO2 emissions, we propose regional strategies for establishing new national parks to protect extinction-prone taxa by preserving high-elevation climate refugia within existing sites of species occurrence. We propose that evolved acclimatization maternal plasticity may ameliorate risk, but is poorly studied. Previous studies revealed that adaptive maternal plasticity by thermoregulating gravid females alter progeny thermal preferences by +/- 1 degrees C. We describe plasticity studies for extinction-prone species that could assess whether they might be buffered from climate warming a self-rescue. We discuss an epigenetic framework for studying such maternal-effect evolution. |
| 学科主题 | Animal Sciences |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | CORRELATIONAL SELECTION ; GENOMIC ARCHITECTURE ; EVOLUTION ; ECOLOGY ; TEMPERATURE ; PREFERENCE ; HEAT ; UNCERTAINTY ; PREDICTIONS ; DIVERGENCE |
| WOS研究方向 | Zoology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| CSCD记录号 | CSCD:6453804 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000439929600008 |
| 出版者 | WILEY |
| 源URL | [http://210.75.237.14/handle/351003/30216]  |
| 专题 | 食品安全与环境治理领域_中国科学院环境与应用微生物重点实验室 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Inst Biol, Lab Herpetol, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; 2.Ohio Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Athens, OH 45701 USA; 3.The Institute for the Study of the Ecological and Evolutionary Climate Impacts, University of California, and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, California, USA; 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, 9,Sect 4,Renming Nan Rd, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China; 5.Museum of Natural History, Leibniz-Institute for Evolution and Biodiversity Science, and Berlin-Brandenburg Institute of Advanced Biodiversity Research (BBIB), Berlin, Germany |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sinervo, Barry,Miles, Donald B.,Wu, Yayong,et al. Climate change, thermal niches, extinction risk and maternal-effect rescue of toad-headed lizards, Phrynocephalus, in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the QinghaiTibetan Plateau[J]. INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY,2018,13(4):450-470. |
| APA | Sinervo, Barry,Miles, Donald B.,Wu, Yayong,Mendez-De la Cruz, Fausto R.,Kirchhof, Sebastian,&Qi, Yin.(2018).Climate change, thermal niches, extinction risk and maternal-effect rescue of toad-headed lizards, Phrynocephalus, in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the QinghaiTibetan Plateau.INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY,13(4),450-470. |
| MLA | Sinervo, Barry,et al."Climate change, thermal niches, extinction risk and maternal-effect rescue of toad-headed lizards, Phrynocephalus, in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the QinghaiTibetan Plateau".INTEGRATIVE ZOOLOGY 13.4(2018):450-470. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：成都生物研究所
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