Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Yuanyuan Chen3![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
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出版日期 | 2020 |
期号 | Accepted页码:Accepted |
关键词 | Traffic Flow Prediction Ensemble Learning Deep Learning |
英文摘要 | Accurate traffic prediction under various conditions is an important but challenging task. Due to the complicated non-stationary temporal dynamics in traffic flow time series and spatial dependencies on roadway networks, there is no particular method that is clearly superior to all others. Here, we focus on investigating ensemble learning that benefits from multiple base models, and propose a traffic-condition-aware ensemble approach that acts as a decision maker by stacking multiple predictions based on dynamic traffic conditions. To sense traffic conditions, we apply the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model to capture the spatiotemporal patterns embedded in traffic flow. Then, the high-level features extracted by CNN are used to generate weights to ensemble multiple predictions of different models. Extensive experiments are performed with a real traffic dataset from the Caltrans Performance Measurement System. We compare the proposed approach with competitive models, including Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT) model, Weight Regression model, Support Vector Regression (SVR) model, Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) model, Historical Average (HA) model and CNN model. Experimental results demonstrate that our method can effectively improve the performances of traffic flow prediction. |
语种 | 英语 |
源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/40603] ![]() |
专题 | 自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队 |
通讯作者 | Yisheng Lv |
作者单位 | 1.Institute of Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology 2.Harbin University of the Science and Technology 3.State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yuanyuan Chen,Hongyu Chen,Peijun Ye,et al. Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS,2020(Accepted):Accepted. |
APA | Yuanyuan Chen,Hongyu Chen,Peijun Ye,Yisheng Lv,&Fei-Yue Wang.(2020).Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction.IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS(Accepted),Accepted. |
MLA | Yuanyuan Chen,et al."Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS .Accepted(2020):Accepted. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:自动化研究所
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