中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Yuanyuan Chen3; Hongyu Chen2,3; Peijun Ye3; Yisheng Lv3; Fei-Yue Wang1,3
刊名IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
出版日期2020
期号Accepted页码:Accepted
关键词Traffic Flow Prediction Ensemble Learning Deep Learning
英文摘要

Accurate traffic prediction under various conditions is an important but challenging task. Due to the complicated non-stationary temporal dynamics in traffic flow time series and spatial dependencies on roadway networks, there is no particular method that is clearly superior to all others. Here, we focus on investigating ensemble learning that benefits from multiple base models, and propose a traffic-condition-aware ensemble approach that acts as a decision maker by stacking multiple predictions based on dynamic traffic conditions. To sense traffic conditions, we apply the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model to capture the spatiotemporal patterns embedded in traffic flow. Then, the high-level features extracted by CNN are used to generate weights to ensemble multiple predictions of different models. Extensive experiments are performed with a real traffic dataset from the Caltrans Performance Measurement System. We compare the proposed approach with competitive models, including Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT) model, Weight Regression model, Support Vector Regression (SVR) model, Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) model, Historical Average (HA) model and CNN model. Experimental results demonstrate that our method can effectively improve the performances of traffic flow prediction.

语种英语
源URL[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/40603]  
专题自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队
通讯作者Yisheng Lv
作者单位1.Institute of Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology
2.Harbin University of the Science and Technology
3.State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yuanyuan Chen,Hongyu Chen,Peijun Ye,et al. Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS,2020(Accepted):Accepted.
APA Yuanyuan Chen,Hongyu Chen,Peijun Ye,Yisheng Lv,&Fei-Yue Wang.(2020).Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction.IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS(Accepted),Accepted.
MLA Yuanyuan Chen,et al."Acting As A Decision Maker: Traffic-Condition-Aware Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Prediction".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS .Accepted(2020):Accepted.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:自动化研究所

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