Effect of heterogeneous risk perception on information diffusion, behavior change, and disease transmission
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Ye, Yang1; Zhang, Qingpeng1; Ruan, Zhongyuan2; Cao, Zhidong3,4,5![]() ![]() |
刊名 | PHYSICAL REVIEW E
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出版日期 | 2020-10-30 |
卷号 | 102期号:4页码:10 |
ISSN号 | 2470-0045 |
DOI | 10.1103/PhysRevE.102.042314 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng(qingpeng.zhang@cityu.edu.hk) |
英文摘要 | Motivated by the importance of individual differences in risk perception and behavior change in people's responses to infectious disease outbreaks (particularly the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic), we propose a heterogeneous disease-behavior-information transmission model, in which people's risk of getting infected is influenced by information diffusion, behavior change, and disease transmission. We use both a mean-field approximation and Monte Carlo simulations to analyze the dynamics of the model. Information diffusion influences behavior change by allowing people to be aware of the disease and adopt self-protection and subsequently affects disease transmission by changing the actual infection rate. Results show that (a) awareness plays a central role in epidemic prevention, (b) a reasonable fraction of overreacting nodes are needed in epidemic prevention (c) the basic reproduction number R-0 has different effects on epidemic outbreak for cases with and without asymptomatic infection, and (d) social influence on behavior change can remarkably decrease the epidemic outbreak size. This research indicates that the media and opinion leaders should not understate the transmissibility and severity of diseases to ensure that people become aware of the disease and adopt self-protection to protect themselves and the whole population. |
WOS关键词 | EPIDEMIC MODEL ; SPREAD ; HEALTH ; IMPACT ; AWARENESS ; DYNAMICS ; OUTBREAK |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[72042018] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71621002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71972164] ; Ministry of Science and Technology[2016QY02D0305] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[ZDRW-XH2017-3] |
WOS研究方向 | Physics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000583693700002 |
出版者 | AMER PHYSICAL SOC |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Ministry of Science and Technology ; Chinese Academy of Sciences |
源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/41766] ![]() |
专题 | 自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_互联网大数据与安全信息学研究中心 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng |
作者单位 | 1.City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Data Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 2.Zhejiang Univ Technol, Inst Cyberspace Secur, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Shenzhen Artificial Intelligence & Data Sci Inst, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ye, Yang,Zhang, Qingpeng,Ruan, Zhongyuan,et al. Effect of heterogeneous risk perception on information diffusion, behavior change, and disease transmission[J]. PHYSICAL REVIEW E,2020,102(4):10. |
APA | Ye, Yang,Zhang, Qingpeng,Ruan, Zhongyuan,Cao, Zhidong,Xuan, Qi,&Zeng, Daniel Dajun.(2020).Effect of heterogeneous risk perception on information diffusion, behavior change, and disease transmission.PHYSICAL REVIEW E,102(4),10. |
MLA | Ye, Yang,et al."Effect of heterogeneous risk perception on information diffusion, behavior change, and disease transmission".PHYSICAL REVIEW E 102.4(2020):10. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:自动化研究所
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