Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Guan, Dabo; Wang, Daoping; Hallegatte, Stephane; Davis, Steven J.; Huo, Jingwen; Li, Shuping; Bai, Yangchun; Lei, Tianyang; Xue, Qianyu; Coffman, D'Maris |
| 刊名 | NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020 |
| 卷号 | 4 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41562-020-0896-8 |
| 英文摘要 | Countries have sought to stop the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) by severely restricting travel and in-person commercial activities. Here, we analyse the supply-chain effects of a set of idealized lockdown scenarios, using the latest global trade modelling framework. We find that supply-chain losses that are related to initial COVID-19 lockdowns are largely dependent on the number of countries imposing restrictions and that losses are more sensitive to the duration of a lockdown than its strictness. However, a longer containment that can eradicate the disease imposes a smaller loss than shorter ones. Earlier, stricter and shorter lockdowns can minimize overall losses. A 'go-slow' approach to lifting restrictions may reduce overall damages if it avoids the need for further lockdowns. Regardless of the strategy, the complexity of global supply chains will magnify losses beyond the direct effects of COVID-19. Thus, pandemic control is a public good that requires collective efforts and support to lower-capacity countries. Guan et al. analyse the impacts of COVID-19 restrictions on global supply chains. Earlier, stricter and shorter lockdowns can minimize overall losses. A 'go-slow' approach to lifting restrictions may reduce overall damages if it avoids the need for further lockdowns. |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.casisd.cn/handle/190111/9816]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guan, Dabo,Wang, Daoping,Hallegatte, Stephane,et al. Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures[J]. NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR,2020,4. |
| APA | Guan, Dabo.,Wang, Daoping.,Hallegatte, Stephane.,Davis, Steven J..,Huo, Jingwen.,...&Gong, Peng.(2020).Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures.NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR,4. |
| MLA | Guan, Dabo,et al."Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures".NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR 4(2020). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：科技战略咨询研究院
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