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Modelling the scores and performance statistics of NBA basketball games

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Song, Kai1,2; Zou, Qingrong1,2; Shi, Jian1,2
刊名COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION
出版日期2020-10-02
卷号49期号:10页码:2604-2616
关键词NBA outcome forecast Bivariate normal mean regression Performance statistics Betting strategy Market efficiency tests
ISSN号0361-0918
DOI10.1080/03610918.2018.1520878
英文摘要This paper investigates the problem of modeling and forecasting the outcomes of NBA basketball games based on performance statistics. A bivariate normal mean regression model is developed to model the scores and performance statistics. Two methods for forecasting the performance statistics ex ante are proposed in order to predict the outcomes of NBA basketball games, including the final scores of two teams and the probability that a specific team wins the game. Besides, a betting strategy is developed and efficiency tests in the handicap betting market are conducted. Empirical study shows that the proposed model works well.
WOS研究方向Mathematics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000583996000006
出版者TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
源URL[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/52388]  
专题中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者Shi, Jian
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Song, Kai,Zou, Qingrong,Shi, Jian. Modelling the scores and performance statistics of NBA basketball games[J]. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION,2020,49(10):2604-2616.
APA Song, Kai,Zou, Qingrong,&Shi, Jian.(2020).Modelling the scores and performance statistics of NBA basketball games.COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION,49(10),2604-2616.
MLA Song, Kai,et al."Modelling the scores and performance statistics of NBA basketball games".COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION 49.10(2020):2604-2616.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：数学与系统科学研究院

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