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Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Wei, Ting1; Liu, Changxin2; Dong, Wenjie3; Yu, Haipeng4; Yang, Shili5; Yan, Qing6; Hao, Zhixin7
刊名INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
出版日期2021-01-03
页码14
关键词climate change mitigation climate extremes climate modelling future projections technological advances
ISSN号0899-8418
DOI10.1002/joc.6971
通讯作者Liu, Changxin(liuchangxin@casisd.cn) ; Dong, Wenjie(dongwj3@mail.sysu.edu.cn)
英文摘要Technological advances have the potential to balance climate change mitigation and economic development. However, it remains unclear how much technological advances alone can mitigate climate change and the associated economic losses in the future. Through designing a suite of technological advances scenarios and using an earth system model with an integrated assessment model, we illustrate that rapid technological progress without production control might achieve the 2 degrees C global warming target in the 2100s. Relative to a world of stagnant technology, the frequency (intensity) of extreme warm events at the end of the 21st century (2081-2100) would be reduced by similar to 21% (5.5 degrees C) via rapid technological advances, with a reduction in extreme precipitation (droughts) by similar to 41% (10 times). Furthermore, fast technological advances may reduce the global economic losses linked with climate change at 2081-2100 by similar to 21% and those in China related to floods (droughts) by 86% (67%). Our results highlight the potential of technological advances to fill the emission gap between the Paris Agreement and unconditional Nationally Determined Contributions and hence to efficiently mitigate global warming.
WOS关键词TEMPERATURE ; CARBON ; DAMAGES ; INDEXES ; MODEL
资助项目National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602704]
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000604261800001
出版者WILEY
资助机构National Key Research and Development Program of China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/136557]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Liu, Changxin; Dong, Wenjie
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Zhuhai 519082, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lab Land Surface Proc & Climate Change Cold & Ari, Lanzhou, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Meteorol Bur, Beijing Meteorol Observat Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Nansen Zhu Int Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Wei, Ting,Liu, Changxin,Dong, Wenjie,et al. Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2021:14.
APA Wei, Ting.,Liu, Changxin.,Dong, Wenjie.,Yu, Haipeng.,Yang, Shili.,...&Hao, Zhixin.(2021).Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,14.
MLA Wei, Ting,et al."Reduction in extreme climate events and potential impacts by the use of technological advances".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021):14.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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