Evolution-based CO2 emission baseline scenarios of Chinese cities in 2025
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Cui, Can1,2,3; Wang, Zhen1; Cai, Bofeng4; Peng, Sha5; Wang, Yang6; Xu, Chengdong6 |
| 刊名 | APPLIED ENERGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021 |
| 卷号 | 281页码:8 |
| ISSN号 | 0306-2619 |
| 关键词 | Emission scenario City evolution CO2 emissions Chinese cities Low-carbon development |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116116 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Zhen(sinoo@mail.hzau.edu.cn) ; Cai, Bofeng(caibf@caep.org.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | City-level CO2 emission scenarios are important for cities' policies of emission reduction. However, current studies do not reveal the macro patterns of the evolution of cities. This work uses the evolution-based city emission scenario (ECES) model, which tracks the city evolution patterns by probability methods based on multiple cities' emissions of different periods, to reveal the underlying evolution rules of cities' CO2 emissions. By the K-means clustering method, five clusters of cities are divided, and the evolution patterns of the city clusters are analyzed. Based on the maximum evolution probability, we discover the city evolution chains that reflect the common pattern of city development. We also propose two indicators for the estimation of emission intensity in 2025 in the natural evolution scenario. Policy implications are then discussed, including optimizing the low-carbon development pathway of cities, cooperate with similar cities. |
| WOS关键词 | CARBON EMISSIONS ; TIME-SERIES ; GROWTH ; CITY ; MODEL |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71673107] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42077060] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[11041910141] ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[11041910142] ; startup fund for distinguished professors of Huazhong Agricultural University |
| WOS研究方向 | Energy & Fuels ; Engineering |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000591381500002 |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities ; startup fund for distinguished professors of Huazhong Agricultural University |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/136962]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Zhen; Cai, Bofeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Huazhong Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm, Wuhan 430070, Peoples R China 2.Wuhan Univ, Sch Resource & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China 3.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Environm Planning, Ctr Climate Change & Environm Policy, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China 5.Hubei Univ Econ, Sch Low Carbon Econ, Wuhan 430205, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cui, Can,Wang, Zhen,Cai, Bofeng,et al. Evolution-based CO2 emission baseline scenarios of Chinese cities in 2025[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2021,281:8. |
| APA | Cui, Can,Wang, Zhen,Cai, Bofeng,Peng, Sha,Wang, Yang,&Xu, Chengdong.(2021).Evolution-based CO2 emission baseline scenarios of Chinese cities in 2025.APPLIED ENERGY,281,8. |
| MLA | Cui, Can,et al."Evolution-based CO2 emission baseline scenarios of Chinese cities in 2025".APPLIED ENERGY 281(2021):8. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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