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Impacts of anthropogenic warming and uneven regional socio-economic development on global river flood risk

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Gu, Xihui10,11; Zhang, Qiang8,9,10; Li, Jianfeng7; Chen, Deliang6; Singh, Vijay P.3,4,5; Zhang, Yongqiang2; Liu, Jianyu1; Shen, Zexi8,9,10; Yu, Huiqian8,9,10
刊名JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
出版日期2020-11-01
卷号590页码:13
关键词Flood exposures Socio-economic development Multi-model framework Global warming
ISSN号0022-1694
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125262
通讯作者Zhang, Qiang(zhangq68@bnu.edu.cn) ; Liu, Jianyu(liujy@cug.edu.cn)
英文摘要Employing a mull-model framework, we estimate the impacts of contrasting warming levels and uneven regional socio-economic development on area, population and gross domestic product (GDP) exposures to flood magnitude and variability in global Flood-Affected Regions (FARs). These exposures to flood variability show persistent increases in FARs, but to flood magnitude only in East and South Asia. Globally, the increases in these exposures are not projected in moderate but extreme floods. Specifically, the areal exposure would be decreased (increased) by 1.8%/degrees C (1.9%/degrees C) for moderate (extreme) floods; the reduced population exposure to extreme floods can be three times higher than that to moderate floods when limiting 2 degrees C to 1.5 degrees C warming. Rapid regional economic growth of East and South Asia (whose GDP accounts for 9.8% of FARs in year 2000 to 18.5% in year 2025) would shift global GDP exposure from a decrease of 2.5%/degrees C to an increase of 1.7%/degrees C.
WOS关键词1.5 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WATER AVAILABILITY ; BIAS CORRECTION ; MODEL ; EXTREMES ; PRECIPITATION ; RUNOFF ; STATIONARITY ; SIMULATIONS
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771536] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1911205] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41901041] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41621061] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[51425903] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2019YFA0606900] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFA0605603] ; Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University[12800-312230012] ; Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administration Region, China[HKBU12303517]
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000599754500062
出版者ELSEVIER
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University ; Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administration Region, China
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/137657]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Zhang, Qiang; Liu, Jianyu
作者单位1.China Univ Geosci, Sch Earth Sci, Lab Crit Zone Evolut, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.UAE Univ, Natl Water Ctr, Al Ain, U Arab Emirates
4.Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil Engn, College Stn, TX USA
5.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, College Stn, TX USA
6.Univ Gothenburg, Dept Earth Sci, Box 460, Gothenburg, Sweden
7.Hong Kong Baptist Univ, Dept Geog, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
8.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
9.Beijing Normal Univ, Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
10.Beijing Normal Univ, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Minist Educ, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Gu, Xihui,Zhang, Qiang,Li, Jianfeng,et al. Impacts of anthropogenic warming and uneven regional socio-economic development on global river flood risk[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,2020,590:13.
APA Gu, Xihui.,Zhang, Qiang.,Li, Jianfeng.,Chen, Deliang.,Singh, Vijay P..,...&Yu, Huiqian.(2020).Impacts of anthropogenic warming and uneven regional socio-economic development on global river flood risk.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,590,13.
MLA Gu, Xihui,et al."Impacts of anthropogenic warming and uneven regional socio-economic development on global river flood risk".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 590(2020):13.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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