Inter-decadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Its Impact on Hydrologic Variables in the Haihe River Basin, China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li Fuxing; Zhang Shiyan; Chen Dong![]() ![]() |
刊名 | Journal of Resources and Ecology
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出版日期 | 2017 |
卷号 | 8期号:2页码:174 |
关键词 | 东亚夏季风 水文要素 VIC 模型 Mann-Kendall 检验 小波分析 海河流域 |
ISSN号 | 1674-764X |
英文摘要 | Wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall tests are employed to evaluate the variation in the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and hydrological variables in the Haihe River basin calculated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity model. The relationships between those variables and the EASM are also examined. The results indicate consistent 40a periodic variation in both the hydrological variables and the EASM. The hydrologic variables show downward trends in the Haihe River basin over the past 60 years, especially in piedmont regions of the Taihang- Yan Mountains. The variables are closely related to the EASM, whose continuous weakening since the 1970 s has resulted in prolonged drought and severe water shortages in the basin. The periodicity of the EASM index was analyzed using continuous wavelet transform methods. We found the most significant periodic signal of the EASM is ~80 years; therefore, the EASM may reinforce and reach a maximum in the 2040 s, resulting in more precipitation and other impacts on basin water resources. Hydrologic variables in the basin in the 2040 s are predicted, and their spatial distributions in the Haihe River basin are also discussed. These results allow for the estimation of water resources under forecasted EASM, which will be useful for water resources management in the Haihe River basin. |
语种 | 英语 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/153179] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
作者单位 | Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li Fuxing,Zhang Shiyan,Chen Dong,et al. Inter-decadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Its Impact on Hydrologic Variables in the Haihe River Basin, China[J]. Journal of Resources and Ecology,2017,8(2):174. |
APA | Li Fuxing,Zhang Shiyan,Chen Dong,He Li,&Gu Leilei.(2017).Inter-decadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Its Impact on Hydrologic Variables in the Haihe River Basin, China.Journal of Resources and Ecology,8(2),174. |
MLA | Li Fuxing,et al."Inter-decadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Its Impact on Hydrologic Variables in the Haihe River Basin, China".Journal of Resources and Ecology 8.2(2017):174. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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