Modeling Subtropical Forest Changes under Climate Change and Close-to-Nature Silviculture: Is There a Tipping Point in an Uncertain Future in Southern China?
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wu, Zhuo1; Dai, Erfu2 ; Guan, Wenchuan1
|
| 刊名 | SUSTAINABILITY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2020-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 12期号:17页码:14 |
| 关键词 | forest modeling climate change harvesting strategies aboveground biomass sustainable logging subtropical forest |
| DOI | 10.3390/su12176992 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Zhuo(wuzhuo@gzhu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Subtropical forests face pressure from both rapidly changing climate and increasing harvest activity in southern China. However, the interactive effects of various spatial processes on forests are not well known. The objective of the present study was to answer the question of how forest aboveground biomass (AGB) changes under alternative climate change and harvesting scenarios and to determine whether there will be a tipping point for forest AGB before 2300. Our simulation results show that, although total forest AGB did not reach a tipping point before 2300 under possible climate change and harvesting scenarios, the slope of the total forest AGB showed a decreasing trend around 2100 and 2200. Moderate climate warming was conducive to AGB accumulation, except for in the high emissions Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP8.5) scenario. Our results also indicate that timber harvesting is adaptable to the accumulation of biomass under climate change scenarios. Harvesting intensity was a key variable affecting forest AGB more than harvesting frequency. Our findings will help develop more sustainable forest management strategies that can adapt to potential climate change scenarios, as well as determining the effectiveness of implementing alternative forest harvesting policies. |
| WOS关键词 | LANDSCAPE SIMULATION-MODEL ; LAND-USE ; FIRE DISTURBANCE ; ELEVATED CO2 ; BIOMASS ; HARVEST ; PRODUCTIVITY ; RESILIENCE ; DEPOSITION ; SCENARIOS |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41801068] ; Forestry Science and Technology Innovation Project of Guangdong[2020KJCX006] ; Forestry Science and Technology Innovation Project of Guangdong[2018KJCX013] |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000571102100001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Forestry Science and Technology Innovation Project of Guangdong |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/156893]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wu, Zhuo |
| 作者单位 | 1.Guangzhou Univ, Sch Geog & Remote Sensing, Guangzhou 510006, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Zhuo,Dai, Erfu,Guan, Wenchuan. Modeling Subtropical Forest Changes under Climate Change and Close-to-Nature Silviculture: Is There a Tipping Point in an Uncertain Future in Southern China?[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2020,12(17):14. |
| APA | Wu, Zhuo,Dai, Erfu,&Guan, Wenchuan.(2020).Modeling Subtropical Forest Changes under Climate Change and Close-to-Nature Silviculture: Is There a Tipping Point in an Uncertain Future in Southern China?.SUSTAINABILITY,12(17),14. |
| MLA | Wu, Zhuo,et al."Modeling Subtropical Forest Changes under Climate Change and Close-to-Nature Silviculture: Is There a Tipping Point in an Uncertain Future in Southern China?".SUSTAINABILITY 12.17(2020):14. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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