Damage of extreme water levels and the adaptation cost of dikes in the Pearl River Delta
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | He, Lei2; Li, Guosheng1; Li, Kuo3; Zhang, Yue1; Guo, Tengjiao1 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE |
出版日期 | 2020-09-01 |
卷号 | 11期号:3页码:829-838 |
ISSN号 | 2040-2244 |
关键词 | adaptation cost extreme events Pearl River Delta sea-level rise storm surge |
DOI | 10.2166/wcc.2019.246 |
通讯作者 | Li, Guosheng(milin053@163.com) |
英文摘要 | Many of the world's largest coastal cities are becoming increasingly vulnerable to extreme events due to their growing populations and infrastructure, the changing climate, and subsidence. This paper assessed the economic impacts of extreme climatic events including sea-level rise and storm surge risk and the benefits of the adaptation strategies in the Pearl River Delta, a lowing-lying area located in southern China. An economic benefit-cost model was established for the estimation of the impacts and benefits. The damage of the extreme events was calculated using the damage rate modeled from the historic disaster database, and then the difference between the damage and the cost of heightening dikes was investigated under different scenarios. The results showed that the damage rate and storm surge level were positively related. The adaptation strategies benefited when the dike was heightened by 1.43-12.67 m, with the optimum reached at 5.15 m, and the dike did not exceed 12.67 m. The maximum benefits were obtained when the dike was designed to defend a 20-year return period storm surge in 2100, and the minimum when the dike is heightened to defend a 100-year return period storm surge in 2100. |
WOS关键词 | FLOOD PROTECTION ; RISE SCENARIOS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; STORM SURGES ; SEA ; FUTURE ; INFRASTRUCTURE ; VULNERABILITY ; UNCERTAINTY ; RESILIENCE |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41571041] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41871026] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association[2018417] |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | IWA PUBLISHING |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000555970900014 |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/158162] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Li, Guosheng |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Jiangxi Normal Univ, Sch Geog & Environm, Minist Educ, Key Lab Poyang Lake Wetland & Watershed Res, Nanchang, Jiangxi, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Environm & Sustainable Dev Agr, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | He, Lei,Li, Guosheng,Li, Kuo,et al. Damage of extreme water levels and the adaptation cost of dikes in the Pearl River Delta[J]. JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,2020,11(3):829-838. |
APA | He, Lei,Li, Guosheng,Li, Kuo,Zhang, Yue,&Guo, Tengjiao.(2020).Damage of extreme water levels and the adaptation cost of dikes in the Pearl River Delta.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,11(3),829-838. |
MLA | He, Lei,et al."Damage of extreme water levels and the adaptation cost of dikes in the Pearl River Delta".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE 11.3(2020):829-838. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。