中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Spatiotemporal assessment of farm-gate production costs and economic potential of Miscanthus x giganteus, Panicum virgatum L., and Jatropha grown on marginal land in China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Zhang, Bingquan1; Hastings, Astley2; Clifton-Brown, John C.3; Jiang, Dong4; Faaij, Andre P. C.1
刊名GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY
出版日期2020-05-01
卷号12期号:5页码:310-327
关键词cost-supply curve economic potential energy crop farm-gate production cost Jatropha marginal land Miscanthus x giganteus switchgrass
ISSN号1757-1693
DOI10.1111/gcbb.12664
通讯作者Zhang, Bingquan(bingquan.zhang@rug.nl)
英文摘要Spatially explicit farm-gate production costs and the economic potential of three types of energy crops grown on available marginal land in China for 2017 and 2040 were investigated using a spatial accounting method and construction of cost-supply curves. The average farm-gate cost from all available marginal land was calculated as 32.9 CNY/GJ for Miscanthus Mode, 27.5 CNY/GJ for Switchgrass Mode, 32.4 CNY/GJ for Miscanthus & Switchgrass Mode, and 909 CNY/GJ for Jatropha Mode in 2017. The costs of Miscanthus and switchgrass were predicted to decrease by approximately 11%-15%, whereas the cost of Jatropha was expected to increase by 5% in 2040. The cost of Jatropha varies significantly from 193 to 9,477 CNY/GJ across regions because of the huge differences in yield across regions. The economic potential of the marginal land was calculated as 28.7 EJ/year at a cost of less than 25 CNY/GJ for Miscanthus Mode, 4.0 EJ/year at a cost of less than 30 CNY/GJ for Switchgrass Mode, 29.6 EJ/year at a cost of less than 25 CNY/GJ for Miscanthus & Switchgrass Mode, and 0.1 EJ/year at a cost of less than 500 CNY/GJ for Jatropha Mode in 2017. It is not feasible to develop Jatropha production on marginal land based on existing technologies, given its high production costs. Therefore, the Miscanthus & Switchgrass Mode is the most economical way, because it achieves the highest economic potential compared with other modes. The sensitivity analysis showed that the farm-gate costs of Miscanthus and switchgrass are most sensitive to uncertainties associated with yield reduction and harvesting costs, while, for Jatropha, the unpredictable yield has the greatest impact on its farm-gate cost. This study can help policymakers and industrial stakeholders make strategic and tactical bioenergy development plans in China (exchange rate in 2017: 1euro = 7.63 & xffe5;; all the joules in this paper are higher heat value).
WOS关键词BIODIESEL PRODUCTION ; BIOENERGY PRODUCTION ; SUPPLY CHAINS ; SWITCHGRASS ; MODEL ; PERFORMANCE ; FEEDSTOCK ; VIABILITY ; ONTARIO ; PRICES
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology ; Energy & Fuels
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000528065400001
出版者WILEY
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/159910]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Zhang, Bingquan
作者单位1.Univ Groningen, Energy & Sustainabil Res Inst Groningen, Nijenborgh 6, NL-9747 AG Groningen, Netherlands
2.Univ Aberdeen, Inst Biol & Environm Sci, Aberdeen, Scotland
3.Aberystwyth Univ, IBERS, Aberystwyth, Dyfed, Wales
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
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Zhang, Bingquan,Hastings, Astley,Clifton-Brown, John C.,et al. Spatiotemporal assessment of farm-gate production costs and economic potential of Miscanthus x giganteus, Panicum virgatum L., and Jatropha grown on marginal land in China[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY,2020,12(5):310-327.
APA Zhang, Bingquan,Hastings, Astley,Clifton-Brown, John C.,Jiang, Dong,&Faaij, Andre P. C..(2020).Spatiotemporal assessment of farm-gate production costs and economic potential of Miscanthus x giganteus, Panicum virgatum L., and Jatropha grown on marginal land in China.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY,12(5),310-327.
MLA Zhang, Bingquan,et al."Spatiotemporal assessment of farm-gate production costs and economic potential of Miscanthus x giganteus, Panicum virgatum L., and Jatropha grown on marginal land in China".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY 12.5(2020):310-327.

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来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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