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Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Samie, Abdus1; Abbas, Azhar1; Azeem, Muhammad Masood2; Hamid, Sidra3; Iqbal, Muhammad Amjed1; Hasan, Shaikh Shamim4; Deng, Xiangzheng5
刊名ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
出版日期2020-04-29
页码19
关键词Sustainable Turbulent energy fluxes Migration Policy Biogeophysical parameters Landscape
ISSN号0944-1344
DOI10.1007/s11356-020-08984-x
通讯作者Abbas, Azhar(azhar.abbas@uaf.edu.pk)
英文摘要Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) significantly affect the climate at regional and global levels through different biogeophysical and biogeochemical processes. However, the effects of biogeophysical aspects of LULCC on climate have been often ignored, which may overestimate the biogeochemical effects on climate change. Thus, understanding the biogeophysical influence of land use changes on climate change in future potential scenarios is crucial. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the mechanism and land use change impacts on future climate under different scenarios through changes in underlying surface and surface energy balance. In order to fill this research gap, three simulations are performed by Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) model for the year 2010-2030 under Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario, Rapid Economic Growth (REG) scenario, and Coordinated Environmental Sustainability (CES) scenario to evaluate the influence of future LULCC on temperature projections for the Punjab province in Pakistan. Results show that land use conversions under three scenarios induce overall climate cooling in the region. The decrease in annual average temperature in CES scenario (- 0.02 degrees C) is slightly greater than that in BAU and REG scenarios (- 0.01 degrees C). The responses of temperature to future LULCC vary in different months in all scenarios, with greater responses in warmer months, causing climate cooling. In each scenario, the response of temperature is found to be sensitive to different land transitions. The findings of the study can be a reference for policy makers, researchers, and development practitioners in their pursuit to understand the effects of land use change on climate.
WOS关键词WEATHER RESEARCH ; FOOD SECURITY ; NORTH-AMERICA ; SYSTEM ; CARBON ; MODEL ; PROJECTIONS ; SIMULATION ; DYNAMICS ; CLASSIFICATION
资助项目Chinese Academy of Sciences under CAS-TWAS fellowship ; University of Agriculture Faisalabad
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000529490200001
出版者SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
资助机构Chinese Academy of Sciences under CAS-TWAS fellowship ; University of Agriculture Faisalabad
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/159928]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Abbas, Azhar
作者单位1.Univ Agr Faisalabad UAF, Inst Agr & Resource Econ IARE, Faisalabad 38000, Pakistan
2.Univ New England, Ctr Agribusiness, Business Sch, Fac Sci Agr Business & Law, Armidale, NSW, Australia
3.Govt Punjab, Educ Dept, Lahore, Pakistan
4.Bangahandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agr Univ BSMRAU, Dept Agr Extens & Rural Dev, Gazipur 1706, Bangladesh
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Samie, Abdus,Abbas, Azhar,Azeem, Muhammad Masood,et al. Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2020:19.
APA Samie, Abdus.,Abbas, Azhar.,Azeem, Muhammad Masood.,Hamid, Sidra.,Iqbal, Muhammad Amjed.,...&Deng, Xiangzheng.(2020).Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,19.
MLA Samie, Abdus,et al."Examining the impacts of future land use/land cover changes on climate in Punjab province, Pakistan: implications for environmental sustainability and economic growth".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH (2020):19.

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来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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