Population exposure to compound dry and hot events in China under 1.5 and 2 degrees C global warming
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wu, Xinying1; Hao, Zengchao1; Tang, Qiuhong2,3 ; Zhang, Xuan1; Feng, Sifang1; Hao, Fanghua1
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| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-05-06 |
| 页码 | 10 |
| 关键词 | climate change compound event drought extreme |
| ISSN号 | 0899-8418 |
| DOI | 10.1002/joc.7152 |
| 通讯作者 | Hao, Zengchao(haozc@bnu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Both droughts and hot extremes may exert critical impacts on human society, and their concurrence is no exception. Global warming is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of compound dry and hot events widely, the impacts of which will be particularly severe for sensitive and vulnerable sectors. However, projected risk and impact of compound dry and hot events in China are less assessed, especially in the context of the goals specified by the Paris Agreement in 2015. Here, we show an overall increased risk of compound dry and hot events on human health in China, particularly in eastern regions, for the two warming levels (1.5 and 2 degrees C) based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 climate models. The population exposure to extreme compound dry and hot events is projected to increase by about 165.46% for the 1.5 degrees C warming and about 200.49% for the 2 degrees C warming compared with the exposure in the present period 1986-2005. These potential variations are driven by climate change and population change with climate effect being the dominantly positive contributor. These findings highlight the urgent need for more efforts to limit warming within 1.5 degrees C to reduce the risk of compound dry and hot events and associated impacts on human society. |
| WOS关键词 | EXTREME PRECIPITATION INDEXES ; SURFACE AIR-TEMPERATURE ; DEGREES-C ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; REGIONAL CHANGES ; HEAT ; CLIMATE ; RISK ; 1.5-DEGREES-C ; DROUGHT |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41601014] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41730645] |
| WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000647556400001 |
| 出版者 | WILEY |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/161696]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Hao, Zengchao |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Xinying,Hao, Zengchao,Tang, Qiuhong,et al. Population exposure to compound dry and hot events in China under 1.5 and 2 degrees C global warming[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2021:10. |
| APA | Wu, Xinying,Hao, Zengchao,Tang, Qiuhong,Zhang, Xuan,Feng, Sifang,&Hao, Fanghua.(2021).Population exposure to compound dry and hot events in China under 1.5 and 2 degrees C global warming.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,10. |
| MLA | Wu, Xinying,et al."Population exposure to compound dry and hot events in China under 1.5 and 2 degrees C global warming".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021):10. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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