Expert and Non-expert Opinion About Technological Unemployment
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Toby Walsh1,2,3 |
| 刊名 | International Journal of Automation and Computing
 |
| 出版日期 | 2018 |
| 卷号 | 15期号:5页码:637-642 |
| 关键词 | Survey technological unemployment artificial intelligence (AI). |
| ISSN号 | 1476-8186 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11633-018-1127-x |
| 英文摘要 | There is significant concern that technological advances, especially in robotics and artificial intelligence (AI), could lead to high levels of unemployment in the coming decades. Studies have estimated that around half of all current jobs are at risk of automation. To look into this issue in more depth, we surveyed experts in robotics and AI about the risk, and compared their views with those of non-experts. Whilst the experts predicted a significant number of occupations were at risk of automation in the next two decades, they were more cautious than people outside the field in predicting occupations at risk. Their predictions were consistent with their estimates for when computers might be expected to reach human level performance across a wide range of skills. These estimates were typically decades later than those of the non-experts. Technological barriers may therefore provide society with more time to prepare for an automated future than the public fear. In addition, public expectations may need to be dampened about the speed of progress to be expected in robotics and AI. |
| 源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/42440]  |
| 专题 | 自动化研究所_学术期刊_International Journal of Automation and Computing |
| 作者单位 | 1.Technical University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany 2.Data61, Locked Bag 6016, UNSW, Kensington, Sydney, Australia 3.University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Toby Walsh. Expert and Non-expert Opinion About Technological Unemployment[J]. International Journal of Automation and Computing,2018,15(5):637-642. |
| APA | Toby Walsh.(2018).Expert and Non-expert Opinion About Technological Unemployment.International Journal of Automation and Computing,15(5),637-642. |
| MLA | Toby Walsh."Expert and Non-expert Opinion About Technological Unemployment".International Journal of Automation and Computing 15.5(2018):637-642. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：自动化研究所
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