A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Chengyuan1; Jiang, Fuxin2,3; Wang, Shouyang2,3; Sun, Shaolong4 |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-03-12 |
| 页码 | 14 |
| 关键词 | artificial intelligence Asia‐ Pacific region decomposition ensemble approach NA‐ MEMD tourism demand forecasting |
| ISSN号 | 1099-2340 |
| DOI | 10.1002/jtr.2445 |
| 英文摘要 | Previous studies have shown that different market factors influence tourism demand at different timescales. Accordingly, we propose the decomposition ensemble learning approach to analyze impact of different market factors on tourism demand, and explore the potential advantages of the proposed method on forecasting tourism demand in Asia-Pacific region. By decomposing tourist arrivals with noise-assisted multivariate empirical mode decomposition, this study further explores the multiscale relationship between tourist destinations and major source countries. The empirical results show that decomposition ensemble approach performs significantly better than benchmarks in terms of the level forecasting accuracy and directional forecasting accuracy. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; Academic Excellence Foundation of BUAA for PhD Students |
| WOS研究方向 | Social Sciences - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000628027800001 |
| 出版者 | WILEY |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58242]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
| 通讯作者 | Sun, Shaolong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Chengyuan,Jiang, Fuxin,Wang, Shouyang,et al. A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH,2021:14. |
| APA | Zhang, Chengyuan,Jiang, Fuxin,Wang, Shouyang,&Sun, Shaolong.(2021).A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH,14. |
| MLA | Zhang, Chengyuan,et al."A new decomposition ensemble approach for tourism demand forecasting: Evidence from major source countries in Asia-Pacific region".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH (2021):14. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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