Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang, Ruoyu1,2; Wang, Qihua1,2
|
| 刊名 | BIOMETRICS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-03-02 |
| 页码 | 10 |
| 关键词 | incubation period kernel estimation maximum likelihood optimal solution probability constraint statistical modeling |
| ISSN号 | 0006-341X |
| DOI | 10.1111/biom.13444 |
| 英文摘要 | Quarantine measure is a commonly used nonpharmaceutical intervention during the outbreak of infectious diseases. A key problem for implementing quarantine measure is to determine the duration of the quarantine. Different from the existing methods that determine a constant quarantine duration for everyone, we develop an individualized quarantine rule that suggests different quarantine durations for individuals with different characteristics. The proposed quarantine rule is optimal in the sense that it minimizes the average quarantine duration of uninfected people with the constraint that the probability of symptom presentation for infected people attains the given value closing to 1. The optimal solution for the quarantine duration is obtained and estimated by some statistical methods with application to analyzing COVID-19 data. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[11871460] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61621003] ; Key Lab of Random Complex Structure and Data Science, CAS |
| WOS研究方向 | Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics ; Mathematical & Computational Biology ; Mathematics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000624322700001 |
| 出版者 | WILEY |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/58158]  |
| 专题 | 应用数学研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Qihua |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Ruoyu,Wang, Qihua. Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19[J]. BIOMETRICS,2021:10. |
| APA | Wang, Ruoyu,&Wang, Qihua.(2021).Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19.BIOMETRICS,10. |
| MLA | Wang, Ruoyu,et al."Determination and estimation of optimal quarantine duration for infectious diseases with application to data analysis of COVID-19".BIOMETRICS (2021):10. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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