System dynamics modeling for construction material flows of urban residential building: A case study of Beijing, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Tang, Shoujuan1; Zhang, Lixiao1; Hao, Yan1; Chang, Yuan2; Liu, Gengyuan1; Liu, Qiance3; Li, Xinqing1 |
| 刊名 | RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-05-01 |
| 卷号 | 168页码:11 |
| 关键词 | System dynamics model Urban residential buildings Construction flow C&D waste STELLA |
| ISSN号 | 0921-3449 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105298 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Lixiao(zhanglixiao@bnu.edu.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | Rapid urbanization and population agglomeration in cities result in massive construction and replacement of building stock with unceasing material flows that interact with the environment. The large quantities of material consumption and induced construction and demolition (C&D) waste have already led to severe resource and environmental problems in China. In this study, a system dynamic model under STELLA platform, was developed to simulate the urban residential building flow changes and related steel demand as well as C&D waste generation for the city of Beijing from 1949 to 2100. Results show that the residential building flows and related stocks of Beijing city will largely vary under different scenarios. The baseline scenario witnessed the construction flow peak in 2010 and projects that the building stock will saturate in 2059 with a total building floor area of 8.79E+8 m(2), and the largest demolition activity is expected in 2079 with a demolished floor area of 1.65E+7 m(2). Overall cyclical dynamics are observed for construction and demolition flows under middle and long-lifetime scenarios, but not prominent for short-lifetime scenarios. If effective urban mining strategies are implemented, up to 70% of future primary steel demand could be satisfied by recycled steel from C&D waste for baseline scenario. The results obtained in this study illustrate the significant resource and environmental saving potential of prolonging the building lifetime and strengthening recycling practices, and highlight the great need of effective policy intervention for waste management infrastructures planning in advance. |
| WOS关键词 | MATERIAL STOCK ; ENERGY ; DEMOLITION ; CONSUMPTION ; EMISSIONS ; STEEL ; CITY |
| 资助项目 | Funds for National Science and Technology Major Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China[2017YFC0505703] ; Sino-Italian Cooperation of China Natural Science Foundation (CNSC)[71861137001] |
| WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000657289000038 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | Funds for National Science and Technology Major Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China ; Sino-Italian Cooperation of China Natural Science Foundation (CNSC) |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/163991]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Lixiao |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 2.Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Management Sci & Engn, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tang, Shoujuan,Zhang, Lixiao,Hao, Yan,et al. System dynamics modeling for construction material flows of urban residential building: A case study of Beijing, China[J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,2021,168:11. |
| APA | Tang, Shoujuan.,Zhang, Lixiao.,Hao, Yan.,Chang, Yuan.,Liu, Gengyuan.,...&Li, Xinqing.(2021).System dynamics modeling for construction material flows of urban residential building: A case study of Beijing, China.RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,168,11. |
| MLA | Tang, Shoujuan,et al."System dynamics modeling for construction material flows of urban residential building: A case study of Beijing, China".RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING 168(2021):11. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。