Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Gao, Qian1,2; Fang, Chuanglin2,3 ; Liu, Haimeng3; Zhang, Lifang2
|
| 刊名 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-09-01 |
| 卷号 | 785页码:18 |
| 关键词 | Sustainable carrying capacity Conjugate evaluation Multi-scenario dynamic coupling model Policy regulation Urban agglomeration Northern slope of Tianshan Mountains |
| ISSN号 | 0048-9697 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147373 |
| 通讯作者 | Fang, Chuanglin(fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn) |
| 英文摘要 | The scientific evaluation of carrying capacity and the formulation of adaptive regulation policies are powerful ways to achieve sustainable development goals. In order to quantitatively and accurately diagnose the sustain-able development state of urban agglomeration, this paper responds to the & ldquo;Future Earth & rdquo; framework; takes the carrying capacity as the breakthrough point; embeds the conjugate thought; considers the elements of the resources, the environment, the ecology, and the development; and establishes the conjugate evaluation model and the evaluation index system of sustainable carrying capacity. In order to solve the actual bottleneck problem of urban agglomeration, this work identifies the key obstacle factors, constructs the multi-scenario dy-namic coupling (MSDC) model, recognizes the sensitivity policies, and proposes the adaptive regulation polices. Taking the urban agglomeration on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains (UANSTM) in arid areas as a case study, it was found that from 2007 to 2017, the carrying capacity gradually increased, and the sustainable development showed a benign transformation trend in the UANSTM. It will also be in a transitional stage of growth from now to 2035, and the steady development of the economy and the society and the good mainte-nance of the resources, the environment and the ecology are equally important. The policies on population inter-vention and on the management of water resources play a vital role, and the speed of economic development should be controlled throughout the whole process. The study confirms that the effective regulation is necessary for the sustainable development of the urban agglomeration in the future, and the key lies in improving techno-logical progress and governance policy support. It is expected that this new and complete research framework for the conjugate evaluation of the sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation can be applied to other regions or urban agglomerations in developing countries and can make a pos-sible breakthrough in promoting the theoretical exploration and practice of sustainable development. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
| WOS关键词 | YANGTZE-RIVER DELTA ; EVALUATION MODEL ; ECO-ENVIRONMENT ; LAND-USE ; SYSTEM ; EVOLUTION ; GROWTH ; LIMITS ; SPACE ; SAFE |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41590840] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41590842] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040400] ; Graduate Research Innovation Project in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China[XJ2019G019] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000659457100003 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Graduate Research Innovation Project in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/164120]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Fang, Chuanglin |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China 2.Xinjiang Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gao, Qian,Fang, Chuanglin,Liu, Haimeng,et al. Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2021,785:18. |
| APA | Gao, Qian,Fang, Chuanglin,Liu, Haimeng,&Zhang, Lifang.(2021).Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,785,18. |
| MLA | Gao, Qian,et al."Conjugate evaluation of sustainable carrying capacity of urban agglomeration and multi-scenario policy regulation".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 785(2021):18. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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