中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Adnan, Muhammad1,2,3; Kang, Shichang1,3,5; Saifullah, Muhammad4; Liu, Shiyin2; Zhang, Guoshuai6; Zhao, Qiudong3,7; Faiz, Muhammad Abrar8; Zaman, Muhammad9
刊名HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
出版日期2021-08-28
页码16
关键词soil and water assessment tool model degree-day melt model Nam Co Lake water balance representative concentration pathways Tibetan Plateau
ISSN号0262-6667
DOI10.1080/02626667.2021.1957474
通讯作者Kang, Shichang(shichang.kang@lzb.ac.cn)
英文摘要This study predicts future variations in simulated water balance components of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model in conjunction with the degree-day melt (DDM) model coupled with the glacier volume-area scaling law. We deduced that the water balance of Nam Co Lake will increase under all selected representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, but it will become negative from 2073 onward (under RCP8.5). Compared to 1981-2010, from 2011 to 2100, the projected Nam Co Lake levels show an increase at a rate of 0.63, 0.70, and 0.41 m/a under RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, respectively, with an area expansion of 778, 855, and 537 km(2) and a corresponding water volume increase of 155, 17, and 94 km(3), respectively; from 2011 to 2100, the lake area will expand by 38.6%, 42.4%, and 26.6% under RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, respectively.
WOS关键词CENTRAL TIBETAN PLATEAU ; LEVEL CHANGES ; RIVER-BASIN ; STORAGE VARIATIONS ; MODEL ; ALTIMETRY ; IMPACTS ; ICESAT ; PERFORMANCE ; CATCHMENT
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41701074] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41630754] ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP)[2019QZKK0605] ; State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science[SKLCS-ZZ-2019]
WOS研究方向Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000693283700001
出版者TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program (STEP) ; State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/165504]  
专题中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者Kang, Shichang
作者单位1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Yunnan Univ, Inst Int Rivers & Ecosecur, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
4.Muhammad Nawaz Shareef Univ Agr, Dept Agr Engn, Multan, Pakistan
5.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing, Peoples R China
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou, Peoples R China
8.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China
9.Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Faisalabad, Pakistan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Adnan, Muhammad,Kang, Shichang,Saifullah, Muhammad,et al. Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios[J]. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,2021:16.
APA Adnan, Muhammad.,Kang, Shichang.,Saifullah, Muhammad.,Liu, Shiyin.,Zhang, Guoshuai.,...&Zaman, Muhammad.(2021).Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,16.
MLA Adnan, Muhammad,et al."Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES (2021):16.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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