estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li Kejun; Gao Pengxin; Su Tongwei |
刊名 | chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics
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出版日期 | 2005 |
卷号 | 5期号:5页码:539 |
ISSN号 | 1009-9271 |
英文摘要 | A simple statistical method is used to estimate the size and timing of maximum amplitude of the next solar cycle (cycle 24). Presuming cycle 23 to be a short cycle (as is more likely), the minimum of cycle 24 should occur about December 2006 ( +/- 2 months) and the maximum, around March 2011 ( +/- 9 months), and the, amplitude is 189.9 +/- 15.5, if it is a fast riser, or about 136, if it is a slow riser. It we presume cycle 23 to be a long cycle. (as is less likely), the minimum of cycle 24 should occur about June 2008 ( +/- 2 months) and the maximum, about February 2013 ( 8 months) and the maximum will be about. 137 or 80, according as the cycle is a fast riser or a slow riser. |
语种 | 英语 |
源URL | [http://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/46658] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院国家天文台 |
作者单位 | 中国科学院国家天文台 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li Kejun,Gao Pengxin,Su Tongwei. estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24[J]. chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics,2005,5(5):539. |
APA | Li Kejun,Gao Pengxin,&Su Tongwei.(2005).estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24.chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics,5(5),539. |
MLA | Li Kejun,et al."estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24".chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics 5.5(2005):539. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:国家天文台
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