中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Prediction of CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Li, Tingting; Li, Hailing; Zhang, Qing; Ma, Zhenfeng4; Yu, Lingfei3; Lu, Yanyu2; Niu, Zhenguo1; Sun, Wenjuan3; Liu, Jia4
刊名SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
出版日期2019
卷号657页码:498-508
ISSN号0048-9697
关键词CH4 emissions Tibetan plateau Climate change Model Wetland
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.275
文献子类Article
英文摘要The alpine wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are ecosystems vulnerable to global climate change. It has been recognized that future climate change may have a significant impact on methane (CH4) emissions from the plateau, while less attention has been paid to predicting temporal and spatial variations in CH4 emissions from TP natural wetlands. In this study, we used an integrated model framework based on the CH4MOD(wetland), TOPMODEL and TEM models to predict CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the TP under IPCC AR5 scenarios from 2006 to 2100. The model estimates suggest that the mean area-weighted CH4 fluxes will increase from 4.45 +/- 0.42 g m(-2) yr(-1) in 2006 to 479 +/- 072, 5.99 +/- 0.85 and 11.53 +/- 1.33 g m(-2) yr(-1) under 3 Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios), respectively, by 2100. The dominant drivers stimulating CH4 emissions are air temperature, precipitation and net primary productivity (NPP). Spatially, CH4 fluxes and emissions showed a decreasing trend from south to north and from east to west. In response to climate change, a total of 0.42 +/- 0.06, 0.54 +/- 0.09 and 1.01 +/- 0.12 Tg yr(-1) of CH4 emissions will be emitted from the TP's potential natural wetlands by the end of this century under the RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, respectively. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
学科主题Environmental Sciences
电子版国际标准刊号1879-1026
出版地AMSTERDAM
WOS关键词NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY ; GLOBAL CLIMATE-CHANGE ; METHANE EMISSIONS ; VASCULAR PLANTS ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; ALPINE WETLANDS ; RICE PADDIES ; MODEL ; CHINA ; VEGETATION
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER
WOS记录号WOS:000455903400050
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [41775159, 31670484, 31000234] ; Climate Change Special Foundation of China Meteorological Administration [CCSF201823]
源URL[http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/19537]  
专题植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位1.Anhui Climate Ctr, Hefei 230031, Anhui, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
3.Sichuan Climate Ctr, Chengdu 610071, Sichuan, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LAPC, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
5.State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, Tingting,Li, Hailing,Zhang, Qing,et al. Prediction of CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019,657:498-508.
APA Li, Tingting.,Li, Hailing.,Zhang, Qing.,Ma, Zhenfeng.,Yu, Lingfei.,...&Liu, Jia.(2019).Prediction of CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,657,498-508.
MLA Li, Tingting,et al."Prediction of CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 657(2019):498-508.

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来源:植物研究所

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