The Controlling of the Subtropical High Leading Modes on the Spatial Pattern of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Western North Pacific and Tracks Landing on the East Coast of China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Fan, Tingting3; Yang, Yuxing1,4,5; Xu, Shibin2 |
刊名 | ATMOSPHERE
![]() |
出版日期 | 2022 |
卷号 | 13期号:1页码:13 |
关键词 | subtropical high tropical cyclone inter-annual variability forecast |
DOI | 10.3390/atmos13010079 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Yuxing(yangyx@qdio.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | As a prime circulation system, the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) significantly impacts tropical cyclone (TC) activities over the western North Pacific (WNP), especially TCs landing on the east coast of China; however, the associated mechanism is not firmly established. This study investigates the underlying dynamic impact of the first two empirical orthogonal function (EOF) modes of the WPSH on the interannual variability in the genesis and number of TCs landing over the WNP. The results show that these two dominant modes control the WNP TC activity over different subregions via different environmental factors. The first mode (EOF1) affects the TC genesis number over region I (105 degrees-128 degrees E, 5 degrees-30 degrees N) (r = -0.49) and region II (130 degrees-175 degrees E, 17 degrees-30 degrees N) (r = -0.5) and controls the TCs landing on the east coast of China, while the second mode (EOF2) affects the TC genesis number over region III (128 degrees-175 degrees E, 5 degrees-17 degrees N) (r = -0.69). The EOF1 mode, a southwest-northeast-oriented enhanced pattern, causes the WPSH to expand (retreat) along the southwest-northeast direction, which makes both mid-low-level relative humidity and low-level vorticity unfavorable (favorable) for TC genesis in region I and region II and steers fewer (more) TC tracks to land on the coast of China. The EOF2 mode features a strengthened WPSH over the southeast quarter of the WNP region. The active (inactive) phases of this mode control the low-level vorticity and vertical wind shear in region III, which lead to less (more) TC genesis over this region. The prediction equations combining the two modes of the WPSH for the total number of TCs and TCs that make landfall show high correlation coefficients. Our findings verify the high prediction skill of the WPSH on WNP TC activities, provide a new way to predict TCs that will make landfall on the east coast of China, and help to improve the future projection of WNP TC activity. |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000757400900001 |
出版者 | MDPI |
源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/178065] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院海洋研究所 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Yuxing |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 2.Ocean Univ China, Dept Marine Meteorol, Qingdao 266100, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Math & Phys, Shandong Adv Optoelect Mat & Technol Engn Lab, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China 4.Chengdu Univ Informat Technol, Coll Optoelect Engn, Chengdu 610225, Peoples R China 5.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol Qingdao, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fan, Tingting,Yang, Yuxing,Xu, Shibin. The Controlling of the Subtropical High Leading Modes on the Spatial Pattern of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Western North Pacific and Tracks Landing on the East Coast of China[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2022,13(1):13. |
APA | Fan, Tingting,Yang, Yuxing,&Xu, Shibin.(2022).The Controlling of the Subtropical High Leading Modes on the Spatial Pattern of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Western North Pacific and Tracks Landing on the East Coast of China.ATMOSPHERE,13(1),13. |
MLA | Fan, Tingting,et al."The Controlling of the Subtropical High Leading Modes on the Spatial Pattern of Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Western North Pacific and Tracks Landing on the East Coast of China".ATMOSPHERE 13.1(2022):13. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:海洋研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。