Establishing a Risk Assessment Framework for Marine Assets and Assessing Typhoon Lekima Storm Surge for the Laizhou Bay Coastal Area of the Bohai Sea, China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Li, Jian2; Mo, Dongxue1,3,4,5; Li, Rui2; Hou, Yijun1,3,4,5; Liu, Qingrong2 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING |
出版日期 | 2022-02-01 |
卷号 | 10期号:2页码:23 |
关键词 | risk assessment storm surge affected infrastructure emergency response and recovery capability Lekima |
DOI | 10.3390/jmse10020298 |
通讯作者 | Mo, Dongxue(dongxuemo@qdio.ac.cn) |
英文摘要 | Effective risk assessment can reduce the economic losses and physical damage caused by marine dynamic processes, such as storm surges. Most risk assessments of marine disasters are based on regional parameters and discrete hazard grades. Targeted, multilevel, and multiangle risk assessments are urgently needed. This study focuses on specific types of affected infrastructure. We established a sensitivity matrix by considering the effects of different disaster causal factors on different types of affected infrastructure. Through this matrix, hazards, vulnerability, and emergency response and recovery capability were effectively combined in a risk assessment framework. We completed the risk calculation for multiple concurrent effects of disasters in areas with superimposed key infrastructure using complementary risk superposition. The hazard grade, vulnerability grade, and coefficient of emergency response and recovery capability were established based on the means of return period, characteristics of disaster distribution, types of affected infrastructure and disaster relief distance, and were continuous by solving functions, normal cumulative distributions, and analytic functions. On the basis of reasonable MIKE21 numerical simulation and abstract spatial distribution of vulnerable assets, we tested the rationality of the assessment system in the Lekima typhoon storm surge process. The results showed that the assessment system accurately reflected the risk of damage to the important infrastructure in terms of spatial distribution. Therefore, this risk assessment framework was suitable for the assessment of a marine dynamic disaster process in the lower Laizhou Bay coastal area of the Bohai Sea, China. Moreover, it provided a reference for disaster prevention and reduction, guided the way for decision making, and effectively reduced disaster losses. |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Oceanography |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | MDPI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000762800700001 |
源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/178083] |
专题 | 海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
通讯作者 | Mo, Dongxue |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Yuquan Rd 19A, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.State Ocean Adm, North China Sea Marine Forecasting Ctr, Yunling Rd 27, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Mega Sci, Nanhai Rd 7, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Nanhai Rd 7, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 5.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol Qingdao, Lab Ocean Dynam & Climate, Wenhai Rd 1, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Jian,Mo, Dongxue,Li, Rui,et al. Establishing a Risk Assessment Framework for Marine Assets and Assessing Typhoon Lekima Storm Surge for the Laizhou Bay Coastal Area of the Bohai Sea, China[J]. JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING,2022,10(2):23. |
APA | Li, Jian,Mo, Dongxue,Li, Rui,Hou, Yijun,&Liu, Qingrong.(2022).Establishing a Risk Assessment Framework for Marine Assets and Assessing Typhoon Lekima Storm Surge for the Laizhou Bay Coastal Area of the Bohai Sea, China.JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING,10(2),23. |
MLA | Li, Jian,et al."Establishing a Risk Assessment Framework for Marine Assets and Assessing Typhoon Lekima Storm Surge for the Laizhou Bay Coastal Area of the Bohai Sea, China".JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING 10.2(2022):23. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:海洋研究所
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