Limiting global warming to below 1.5 degrees C from 2 degrees C: An energy-system-based multi-model analysis for China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zheng, Jiali1,2,3; Duan, Hongbo2; Zhou, Sheng4; Wang, Shouyang2,3; Gao, Ji5; Jiang, Kejun6; Gao, Shuo5 |
| 刊名 | ENERGY ECONOMICS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-08-01 |
| 卷号 | 100页码:11 |
| 关键词 | Integrated assessment model Multi-model comparisons Paris agreement pledges Energy restructuring Mitigation China |
| ISSN号 | 0140-9883 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105355 |
| 英文摘要 | Enhancing the temperature-increase limit to below 1.5 degrees C from 2 degrees C is of great significance for climate change mitigation, and this stricter limit challenges China's role in combating global warming. This study aims to explore how China addresses such challenges in the attainment of this more stringent warming-limit goal through sustainable transition. By using multi-model analysis, the robustness of findings is enhanced, while providing appropriate options based on model comparisons. The 1.5 degrees C limit means further reduction of emissions-up to 22%-and a ten-year earlier peak. From 2 degrees C to 1.5 degrees C, primary energy consumption will decrease by 22% to 28%, while policy costs will further increase by up to 37%. Greater technological progress facilitates larger contributions to CO2 emission reductions, given the shift from 2 degrees C to 1.5 degrees C. With diminishing marginal policy costs, the energy system can be reconstructed by initiating early actions on low-carbon and negative-emission technology development, and in the long term by coordinating state-of-the-art alternative technologies. This study provides reliable assessments of goal-strengthened achievements for China, including emission reductions, technology development, structural improvement, and economic performance for China. Furthermore, this study's multi-model comparisons show underlying implications for sustainable transition, which could also be conducive to the global practice of addressing climate change. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874177] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72022019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71874096] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi[2021JQ-064] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608603] |
| WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000694892100028 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59278]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
| 通讯作者 | Duan, Hongbo |
| 作者单位 | 1.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710049, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 4.Tsinghua Univ, Inst Energy Environm & Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China 5.Environm Def Fund, Beijing 100007, Peoples R China 6.Natl Dev & Reform Commiss, Energy Res Inst, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng, Jiali,Duan, Hongbo,Zhou, Sheng,et al. Limiting global warming to below 1.5 degrees C from 2 degrees C: An energy-system-based multi-model analysis for China[J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS,2021,100:11. |
| APA | Zheng, Jiali.,Duan, Hongbo.,Zhou, Sheng.,Wang, Shouyang.,Gao, Ji.,...&Gao, Shuo.(2021).Limiting global warming to below 1.5 degrees C from 2 degrees C: An energy-system-based multi-model analysis for China.ENERGY ECONOMICS,100,11. |
| MLA | Zheng, Jiali,et al."Limiting global warming to below 1.5 degrees C from 2 degrees C: An energy-system-based multi-model analysis for China".ENERGY ECONOMICS 100(2021):11. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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