A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Shi, Jian1,2; Song, Kai1,2 |
| 刊名 | COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2021-11-02 |
| 卷号 | 50期号:11页码:3768-3776 |
| 关键词 | Betting In-play predictions Markov chain Positive returns Uncertainty analysis |
| ISSN号 | 0361-0918 |
| DOI | 10.1080/03610918.2019.1633351 |
| 英文摘要 | In this article, a discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain model is developed to fit the NBA basketball data. It can be used to produce in-play prediction for basketball matches. An iterative algorithm is designed to calculate probabilities of the final score difference. Empirical study shows that the proposed model performs well, and more profoundly it can have positive return when we bet with the market. |
| WOS研究方向 | Mathematics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000715739100019 |
| 出版者 | TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC |
| 源URL | [http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59527]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 |
| 通讯作者 | Song, Kai |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shi, Jian,Song, Kai. A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches[J]. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION,2021,50(11):3768-3776. |
| APA | Shi, Jian,&Song, Kai.(2021).A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches.COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION,50(11),3768-3776. |
| MLA | Shi, Jian,et al."A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches".COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION 50.11(2021):3768-3776. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：数学与系统科学研究院
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