Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Shi, Ning2; Naudiyal, Niyati; Wang, Jinniu3; Gaire, Narayan Prasad4,5; Wu, Yan; Wei, Yanqiang6; He, Jiali; Wang, Chunya |
刊名 | FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE |
出版日期 | 2022 |
卷号 | 12期号:_页码:- |
ISSN号 | 1664-462X |
关键词 | Meconopsis punicea MaxEnt modeling habitat suitability ecosystem service climate change Qinghai-Tibet Plateau |
DOI | 10.3389/fpls.2021.830119 |
英文摘要 | Meconopsis punicea is an iconic ornamental and medicinal plant whose natural habitat has degraded under global climate change, posing a serious threat to the future survival of the species. Therefore, it is critical to analyze the influence of climate change on possible distribution of M. punicea for conservation and sustainable utilization of this species. In this study, we used MaxEnt ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of M. punicea under current and future climate scenarios in the southeastern margin region of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Model projections under current climate show that 16.8% of the study area is suitable habitat for Meconopsis. However, future projections indicate a sharp decline in potential habitat for 2050 and 2070 climate change scenarios. Soil type was the most important environmental variable in determining the habitat suitability of M. punicea, with 27.75% contribution to model output. Temperature seasonality (16.41%), precipitation of warmest quarter (14.01%), and precipitation of wettest month (13.02%), precipitation seasonality (9.41%) and annual temperature range (9.24%) also made significant contributions to model output. The mean elevation of suitable habitat for distribution of M. punicea is also likely to shift upward in most future climate change scenarios. This study provides vital information for the protection and sustainable use of medicinal species like M. punicea in the context of global environmental change. Our findings can aid in developing rational, broad-scale adaptation strategies for conservation and management for ecosystem services, in light of future climate changes. |
学科主题 | Plant Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000750587800001 |
源URL | [http://ir.xtbg.org.cn/handle/353005/13018] |
专题 | 西双版纳热带植物园_2012年后新成立研究组 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, Chengdu, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Life Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Tibet Ecol Safety Monitor Network, Mangkang Ecol Stn, Chengdu, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Trop Forest Ecol, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden XTBG, Mengla, Peoples R China 6.Tribhuvan Univ, Dept Environm Sci, Patan Multiple Campus, Lalitpur, Nepal |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shi, Ning,Naudiyal, Niyati,Wang, Jinniu,et al. Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,2022,12(_):-. |
APA | Shi, Ning.,Naudiyal, Niyati.,Wang, Jinniu.,Gaire, Narayan Prasad.,Wu, Yan.,...&Wang, Chunya.(2022).Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,12(_),-. |
MLA | Shi, Ning,et al."Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau".FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 12._(2022):-. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:西双版纳热带植物园
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