Parallel crop planning based on price forecast
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Fan, Menghan3,4![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS
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出版日期 | 2021-11-16 |
期号 | 1页码:22 |
关键词 | agent-based modeling crop planning parallel agricultural management price prediction |
ISSN号 | 0884-8173 |
DOI | 10.1002/int.22739 |
英文摘要 | Agrifood system actors operate within diverse sociocultural, economic, and biophysical settings. For growers, crop planning, usually a yearly business plan, is a key decision to make on when, what, and how many to plant. It is a challenging task as it deals with multiple constraints in volatile economic and/or climate environment. Most crop planning models have difficulty in adapting to changing situation. In this study, a parallel system of crop planning composed of the artificial system, computational experiment, and parallel execution is proposed. The farmers are described as agents, and the decision is made based on the heuristic searching of optimal plan; the adaption of plan is triggered autonomously given strong environment changes. Focus is given to economic environment, which is indicated as product price. In a case study, the economic environment of the artificial system is built based on the monthly and weekly price information for 13 products during 7 years. The computational experiment provides the initial cropping plan and harvest time, with social and ecological constraints. Result shows that the cropping plan can further adapt to price variation. This flexible cropping plan system can strengthen the capability of cooperatives serving small-scale farmers. |
WOS关键词 | PATTERNS ; FARMERS ; MODELS ; SCALE |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[62076239] ; Chinese Academy of Science (CAS)-Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA) Joint Research Program[GJHZ2076] |
WOS研究方向 | Computer Science |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000718795700001 |
出版者 | WILEY |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Science (CAS)-Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA) Joint Research Program |
源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/46446] ![]() |
专题 | 自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队 |
通讯作者 | Kang, Mengzhen; Wang, Xiujuan |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Engn Res Ctr Intelligent Syst & Technol, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Vegetables & Flowers, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Qingdao AgriTech Co Ltd, Qingdao, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fan, Menghan,Kang, Mengzhen,Wang, Xiujuan,et al. Parallel crop planning based on price forecast[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS,2021(1):22. |
APA | Fan, Menghan,Kang, Mengzhen,Wang, Xiujuan,Hua, Jing,He, Chaoxing,&Wang, Fei-Yue.(2021).Parallel crop planning based on price forecast.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS(1),22. |
MLA | Fan, Menghan,et al."Parallel crop planning based on price forecast".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS .1(2021):22. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:自动化研究所
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