Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Ye, Peijun3![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
刊名 | IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS
![]() |
出版日期 | 2021-07-07 |
卷号 | 99期号:99页码:10 |
关键词 | Calibration Computational modeling Mathematical model Machine learning Aggregates Optimization Bayes methods Agent-based model (ABM) calibration Markovian process |
ISSN号 | 2168-2267 |
DOI | 10.1109/TCYB.2021.3089712 |
英文摘要 | Calibration of agent-based models (ABM) is an essential stage when they are applied to reproduce the actual behaviors of distributed systems. Unlike traditional methods that suffer from the repeated trial and error and slow convergence of iteration, this article proposes a new ABM calibration approach by establishing a link between agent microbehavioral parameters and systemic macro-observations. With the assumption that the agent behavior can be formulated as a high-order Markovian process, the new approach starts with a search for an optimal transfer probability through a macrostate transfer equation. Then, each agent's microparameter values are computed using mean-field approximation, where his complex dependencies with others are approximated by an expected aggregate state. To compress the agent state space, principal component analysis is also introduced to avoid high dimensions of the macrostate transfer equation. The proposed method is validated in two scenarios: 1) population evolution and 2) urban travel demand analysis. Experimental results demonstrate that compared with the machine-learning surrogate and evolutionary optimization, our method can achieve higher accuracies with much lower computational complexities. |
WOS关键词 | OPTIMIZATION |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[62076237] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1811463] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61903363] ; Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province[2020B0909050001] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences[2021130] |
WOS研究方向 | Automation & Control Systems ; Computer Science |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000732918500001 |
出版者 | IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences |
源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/46920] ![]() |
专题 | 自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队 中国科学院自动化研究所 |
通讯作者 | Lv, Yisheng |
作者单位 | 1.Qingdao Acad Intelligent Ind, Parallel Intelligence Res Ctr, Qingdao 266109, Peoples R China 2.Macau Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Syst Engn, Macau, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 4.Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Artificial Intelligence & Automat, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ye, Peijun,Chen, Yuanyuan,Zhu, Fenghua,et al. Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS,2021,99(99):10. |
APA | Ye, Peijun,Chen, Yuanyuan,Zhu, Fenghua,Lv, Yisheng,Lu, Wanze,&Wang, Fei-Yue.(2021).Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics.IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS,99(99),10. |
MLA | Ye, Peijun,et al."Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS 99.99(2021):10. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:自动化研究所
其他版本
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。