中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Ye, Peijun3; Chen, Yuanyuan3; Zhu, Fenghua3; Lv, Yisheng3; Lu, Wanze4; Wang, Fei-Yue1,2,3
刊名IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS
出版日期2021-07-07
卷号99期号:99页码:10
ISSN号2168-2267
关键词Calibration Computational modeling Mathematical model Machine learning Aggregates Optimization Bayes methods Agent-based model (ABM) calibration Markovian process
DOI10.1109/TCYB.2021.3089712
英文摘要

Calibration of agent-based models (ABM) is an essential stage when they are applied to reproduce the actual behaviors of distributed systems. Unlike traditional methods that suffer from the repeated trial and error and slow convergence of iteration, this article proposes a new ABM calibration approach by establishing a link between agent microbehavioral parameters and systemic macro-observations. With the assumption that the agent behavior can be formulated as a high-order Markovian process, the new approach starts with a search for an optimal transfer probability through a macrostate transfer equation. Then, each agent's microparameter values are computed using mean-field approximation, where his complex dependencies with others are approximated by an expected aggregate state. To compress the agent state space, principal component analysis is also introduced to avoid high dimensions of the macrostate transfer equation. The proposed method is validated in two scenarios: 1) population evolution and 2) urban travel demand analysis. Experimental results demonstrate that compared with the machine-learning surrogate and evolutionary optimization, our method can achieve higher accuracies with much lower computational complexities.

WOS关键词OPTIMIZATION
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[62076237] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1811463] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[61903363] ; Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province[2020B0909050001] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences[2021130]
WOS研究方向Automation & Control Systems ; Computer Science
语种英语
出版者IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
WOS记录号WOS:000732918500001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/46920]  
专题自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队
中国科学院自动化研究所
通讯作者Lv, Yisheng
作者单位1.Qingdao Acad Intelligent Ind, Parallel Intelligence Res Ctr, Qingdao 266109, Peoples R China
2.Macau Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Syst Engn, Macau, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Artificial Intelligence & Automat, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ye, Peijun,Chen, Yuanyuan,Zhu, Fenghua,et al. Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS,2021,99(99):10.
APA Ye, Peijun,Chen, Yuanyuan,Zhu, Fenghua,Lv, Yisheng,Lu, Wanze,&Wang, Fei-Yue.(2021).Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics.IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS,99(99),10.
MLA Ye, Peijun,et al."Bridging the Micro and Macro: Calibration of Agent-Based Model Using Mean-Field Dynamics".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON CYBERNETICS 99.99(2021):10.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:自动化研究所

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